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NL5 2pair river jam by fish

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NL5 2pair river jam by fish

This hand was played with the fish.
Plan on the flop is to raise cbet but action went check/check.
I think that opponent range is weak but sometimes can have FD but I would expect a lot of betting with FD from opponent even from fish.
On the turn my thinking was that I need to cbet to get value from one card FD but I got min raised. At this point I am still thinking that I have most of the time better hand.
River pairs the board but I do not expect a lot of 3x in opponent range.
What should I do on the river?

When I reviewed this hand I got an idea that maybe checking the turn is as good as betting and I should mix it.
Turn card is not that good for me but it is not terrible. Also I don't think I have 2 streets of value vs opponents weak range. And on xh fiver I can just put my hand into the muck.

PokerStars - $0.05 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 6 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4: http://www.pokertracker.com

SB: 82.4 BB
Hero (BB): 100 BB
UTG: 47.2 BB
MP: 120.8 BB
CO: 143.2 BB
BTN: 100 BB

SB posts SB 0.4 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.4 BB) Hero has Jd 9d
UTG raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, SB calls 2.6 BB, Hero calls 2 BB

Flop : (9 BB, 3 players) 9h Jc 7h
SB checks, Hero checks, UTG checks

Turn : (9 BB, 3 players) 3h
SB checks, Hero bets 6.4 BB, UTG raises to 12.8 BB, fold, Hero calls 6.4 BB

River : (34.6 BB, 2 players) 3c
Hero checks, UTG bets 31.4 BB and is all-in ??

2 Comments

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RaoulFlush 2 years ago

Its a meh spot, but im calling this for several reasons:

  1. UTG starts with a weird stack size pre, so probably a rec
  2. His line is not really consistent. So theory wise Villain should have a decently protected checking range OTF (OP/2p/sets/FD...) But most players do a poor job of constructing a range like that. Ie: Check back ranges from weaker players tend to be weaker because they mostly bet their strong hands/hands with high Equity (like FD) too much.
  3. Kind of the same of #2 applies to raising ranges OTT which is basically a coincidence.
  4. The price is fairly good.
  5. We block boats

So sure: Villain is repping a checked back FD or turned set (rivered quads) pretty good and I wouldn't be shocked to see a better hand on a decent frequency here, but given the price and the potential randomness of a red, im never folding here (this would be a complete different story vs a reg btw.)

kacic007 2 years ago

Thanks for the answer. I do really had the same feeling that we might be behind a lot but as weirdly play opponent value but also we might see here A7off with 0 equity.

I called and lost to T8off which was kind of a shock for me :D

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