[NL30] 3bet small pp SB vs BTN and 3 barrels bluff
Posted by whysoeasy
Posted by
whysoeasy
posted in
Low Stakes
[NL30] 3bet small pp SB vs BTN and 3 barrels bluff
HJ: 30.47
CO: 30.56
BN: 36.79
SB: 39.67 (Hero)
BB: 26.93
CO: 30.56
BN: 36.79
SB: 39.67 (Hero)
BB: 26.93
Hey everyone, first hand I post in the NLHE forum (or ever on RIO, not even sure). Hope it gonna be interesting.
Reads:
Don't really know villain in game at that time, just played one big pot vs him till this hand where I called AQs btn vs his 3bet BB, called 2 barrels on QJxT and fold a river push. But I expect villain to be an at least "ok" reg because I recognize his screenname from another strat forum.
Villain was something like 25/20/9 with enter 60-70% fold to 3bet (200 hands). Others stats are useless I guess since I didn't have enough occurrences.
Reads:
Don't really know villain in game at that time, just played one big pot vs him till this hand where I called AQs btn vs his 3bet BB, called 2 barrels on QJxT and fold a river push. But I expect villain to be an at least "ok" reg because I recognize his screenname from another strat forum.
Villain was something like 25/20/9 with enter 60-70% fold to 3bet (200 hands). Others stats are useless I guess since I didn't have enough occurrences.
Preflop
(0.45)
(5 Players)
CO folds,
BN raises to 0.60,
Hero raises to 2.10,
BB folds,
BN calls 1.50
3bet 66, don't really like to call and it's often easy to play in 3bet pot. I'm also testing him on how he reacts to 3bet/ CB in 3bet pot.
Flop
(4.65)
3
7
4
(3 Players)
Hero bets 3,
BN calls 3
Catch a gutshot, Decide to CB, I make it 2/3 like I would make with all my range 100BB deep but since we are a bit deeper I prob should have make it 3.5? Anyway Cb with a bit of equity and I wanted to protect from all his overcards hands and take the pot often on the flop. I expect him to be aggro enough to try to get it in with his nuts flush draw but I don't have any any note/read that can confirm this.
Turn
(10.65)
3
7
4
K
(3 Players)
Hero bets 6.60,
BN calls 6.60
Turn is a good card for my range and I decide to go for a 3barrels if no diamonds come river. My value range is actually {33, 44, AA, KK, AKs, AKo, QKs, QKo, KJs} but we prob can leave 33-44 from his point of views since these hands aren't 3betted too often at micro. His range look like pp (inclued 55 I guess), set ( but I expect him to raise it on the flop some of the time), FD, some suited K and some float with Adx kind of hand (AdQ,AdJ) When he call I think his range is mostly FD, pp, K+FD and few time a set ?
I wanted to have a pot size bet for the river but fail the math , should have make it a bit bigger.
River
(23.85)
3
7
4
K
9
(3 Players)
Hero bets 27.97, and is all in,
BN calls 25.09, and is all in
So river I decided to push, wanted to let him fold his pp and I didn't want to be bluff by his FD also.
What do you think about the river bet and the line in general ?
What do you think about the river bet and the line in general ?
Loading 12 Comments...
*) You have to realize that in your perceived hand range, you also have missed FD/Air( a proportion of times) in your river Jamming range.
I don't hate the barrel, since your value range is definitely greater than that of your Missed Draw combinations, but Villain only needs to be correct
(Bet/Bet+Bet+Pot)=($25.09/$74.03)=33.8% to BEP, and your Total 3-betting hand range is definitely wider than the given Value range Set for yourself on river-spot.
**) However you have to realize that if Villain has a hand like TT, It's even correct to call your river Jam, since (it's towards the top of his range on River).
Probably wouldve jammed on a Strong card: J,Q,A
Ok, I think Checking 66 on the river, in terms of our Overall gameplan is not a bad Idea. Think of how we would play our overall hand ranges on RIver. Say, If we balance our RIver Checking ranges, then 66 should be put into our river CHecking range. Since, We're most likely checking back a high Proportion of our KX hand ranges to either Bluffcatch VS Villains missed FD on river, and its too thin to value bet a hand like KX for 3-streets of value. By checking KX(Top of our river CHeck back Range), we also balance our river checking range, By adding hands like 66 into the mix, thus making our range unexploitable.
If you compare realistically our Range VS VIllains range on river Spot:
I assigned Villain a plausible 2-street calling range ={TT-77,44-33,AdTd,KdQd,KdJd,KdTd,K9s,9d8d,8d7d}
And our 2-barreling range of ={KK+,99,77-55,AdKd,AdQd,AdJd,AdTd,KdQd,KdJd,KdTd,AKo}
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt 1,290 games 0.001 secs 1,290,000 games/secBoard: 3d 7h 4d Ks 9cDead: equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 56.124% 56.12% 00.00% 724 0.00 { TT-77, 44-33, AdTd, KdQd, KdJd, KdTd, K9s, 9d8d, 8d7d }
Hand 1: 43.876% 43.88% 00.00% 566 0.00 { KK+, 99, 77-55, AdKd, AdQd, AdJd, AdTd, KdQd, KdJd, KdTd, AKo }
**) Equity wise, even by betting our overall whole hand range on RIver, we're still losing EV in the long run. I'd rather have a more balanced RIver CHecking range, than to Bet river VS Villains Tighter Calling range IP.
Its prolly not terrible, since if you check he can bluff you with all his busted draws, and hes prolly got enough of those along with TT/88 that its ok. I dont think you should shove tho. Hes never folding a K, you basically just want to get him off his busted draws and weak pairs and you can do that with a smaller bet, it also looks more valuey than a shove. Its not really GTO, but who cares.
i don't understand your logic here, how is villain jamming river with 88/TT as a bluff, when he's more likely checking back IP for SDV.
1) The only draws that missed is Flush, and if in fact we're faced with a river Bet, i think it's more Value than Air.
**) We 3-bet Preflop, and barreled on 2-streets. For villain to be betting a hand like (TT/ weak KX) river, is too thin VS our overall RIver Hand range.
The reason i advocate Checking on river is, Because the 9(c) river card didn't change the board texture by Much, If Villain is calling Us on turn with his value-range, then he's probably still calling us on river, since the 9(c) is a essentially a blank.
We're checking River, since 66 essentially still has showdown value, where the most likely scenario goes
Check, Check, and we could see what is Villains Calling range VS our 3-bet, Bet/Bet line...
Itstoothpastelswear is saying that villain can luff his busted draws and we gonna lose and he hava a bunch of TT/88 that he gonna check back and we gonna lose also. He isn't saying that villain push 88/TT.
Ok, i see. Like i said, if Villain did have TT, i dont think he's folding much on river. I would just check river, after a bad River card, and bank on my showdown value, and see what Villain has.
If i was to put Villain on a hand range, it would be something like K(d)X(d)
Itstoothpasteiswear, 1) There isnt much draws we need to fold out on river other than a hand like T(d)J(d), which we are beating on river spot
2) TT is pretty much the top of villains river range(which is doubt is folding a high % of times)
3)7(d)X(d) combodraws, Villain is likely raising flop/turn with his hand for value/realizing his pot equity
4) 88 is probably the only likely candidate we fold out on the river, which is only 6-Combinations total
5) The reasonable 9X in villains hand range is (9Ts+), I would assume Q9s+ hearts to be raising flop a decent % of times, and K9 isnt folding river. So not many 9X is in Villains river hand range
***) By betting we're sacrificing equity just so we could fold out approximately 10 combination of VIllains hands thats likely beating our 66, while losing to the rest. I would be content with either a Check to see Showdown, or C/F....
ITPIS=keep the discussion going if u have counter arguments. :)
a reasonable range imo when we get to the river that is worse off for betting to be good is 33-TT, KQdd, KJdd, KTdd, 87dd ATdd
discount 33-55 by half cuz maybe he doesnt always call them PF (tho deeper people are always looking for an excuse to call) and because people suck and will sometimes raise them before the river.
Throw in ATdd as the only combo of busted draw that he didnt raise, tho I think this is siding on the worst case because in reality hes going to have more than 1 combo.
hands he never folds: 33 (1.5 combos), 44 (1.5), 77(3), 99(3), KQ-KTdd(3), TT (3 combos 50% he calls) = 15 combos
hands he folds 55 (1.5), 88 (6), TT (3), 87dd(1) ATdd(1) = 12.5
you can argue he might not bluff 55, but he also might, but it doesnt much matter
so hes folding close to half the time (46%) So a shove is -EV, unless he folds TT more than half or has more combos of draws. But like I said, I dont think a shove is the best betsize, if we bet $16 he has to fold 40%, so its +EV.
If you think betting $16 makes him fold TT less often, say now he only folds 1 combo, then he calls 17 and folds 10.5, so he folds 38% of the time, its slightly -EV
Now for betting to be the best play, it has to have a higher EV than checking. Of the 27.5 combos, the only ones we beat are 55, ATdd. Lets say for whatever reason (the batteries in his mouse die) he never bets those, then we win 2.5/27.5 = 9% so the EV of a check under the best scenerio is $2.14, which is roughly the in the same range as the EVs of betting depending on how he reacts. Personally tho I think hes going to end up having more than 1 combo of busted draw, and hes definitely bluffing higher than 0% of the time.
I agree that the 9 river isnt a great card for us, but not because it doesnt strengthen our range but because it it takes 6 combos of hands hell fold out of his range, and puts in 3 that hell call.
also, just to point out I never said I thought shoving was the best play, I just said I didnt think it was terrible. Now having done some math I still dont think its terrible, but I like betting $16>checking>shoving
yeah, im saying we are trying to get him to fold TT/88, 7xdd 9xdd, and his draws
We dont really have any showdown value as any hand we beat is likely going to bluff us when we check
I think preflop is what people should be talking about. 66 is a really bad hand to 3bet bluff here - you're just going to get yourself in so many spots where you just have to c/f or put in more money with horrible equity OOP in a bloated pot postflop. I usually flat here but if you think villain is particularly good then folding could be best pre.
As played I'd bet more on the flop like you said. Turn depends on what you think he'll do with 88-QQ and if he folds those hands on river blanks. I haven't played these games in a long time but I think I like betting turn and c/f'ing this river. But honestly, I think the preflop action is far, far more important to discuss.
Hey sorry to bring up an old post and I know this is quite a basic question but what would be your approach when flatting the BN raise pre flop? Do you just check / fold flop whenever there are 2 overcards and you don't hit a set? Would 66 be much different to 22 in terms of pre flop decision? Cheers
It's pretty villain dependent but yeah I'd generally play it straightforwardly. I don't like getting out of line with this sort of hand unless I have some additional equity. You can c/r semi-bluff when you flop OESDs since you'll have some reasonable equity then.
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