NL25z Turning JJ into a bluff?
Posted by whiteshark
Posted by
whiteshark
posted in
Low Stakes
NL25z Turning JJ into a bluff?
SB: $38.97
BB: $38.63
UTG: $49.96
MP: $22.29
CO: $25.00 (Hero)
Preflop: I don't have an overcalling range here multiway when I'm not playing IP. So I'm playing JJ is a pure 4bet in this spot.
Flop: BB might well have TT here plus low broadway hands that connect well with T8xss. So I do establish a checking range here, but JJ goes into my betting range. We might get some value from an occasional ATs and the incentive for equity denial vs. A-Q is strong. Betsize is low due to low SPR.
Turn: This is where my confusion sets in. So in general we could try to get to showdown now. What do you think about turning my hand into a bluff? Let's assume that quite some of the Ax hands got folded OTF and that we won't get any more value from weaker holdings on the river anyways after a turn check. The very nice property of turning this into a bluff would be that we get most KK-QQ to fold, a tremendous result for my holding. If we get called, we still have 9 outs vs. most holdings.
So checkback and get to showdown or ship this in?
Loading 3 Comments...
so basically your trying to fold out QQ KK and KT heats and clubs out. Everything else in his value range calls. I think some of the time QQ and KK are gonna raise that small flop bet to deny AK equity as well. I think its a check back. the question is can he shove his mid pairs as a bluff on the river. to fold out your JJ QQ KK.
I'm not a fan of shoving the turn and I'm not gonna put it in the solver right now
I think KK is going to be always shoved pre and mostly the same for QQ.
It feels too strong to turn it into a bluff. Your 4b seems a bit short + dead money from BU, this will price in some KTs,JTs,QTs.
and yeah, i dont think thats happening very often in nl25, expect most regs to showdown 99,Tx
If I flatted pre with AK or AQ, I am never folding flop to that 1/4 cbet, so turn shoving has no fold equity here against anything but QQ/KK. Those with a spade will call, so your left with ranges here that rarely fold and mostly beat you. For those reasons I prefer checking back turn.
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