NL25z OOP 3b pot, OTR value jam or explo fold?
Posted by downflux01
Posted by
downflux01
posted in
Low Stakes
NL25z OOP 3b pot, OTR value jam or explo fold?
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players)
BN: $52.52
SB: $27.68
BB: $104.03 (Hero)
UTG: $25.00
MP: $32.99
CO: $34.66
SB: $27.68
BB: $104.03 (Hero)
UTG: $25.00
MP: $32.99
CO: $34.66
Opponent is a reg, no other information
Preflop
($0.35)
Hero is BB with
K
Q
, , , ,
BBvMP, KQs is included as a 3b for me and I sized up, as were a bit deeper than 100bb
Flop
($6.12)
7
T
7
,
Probably a board we can allow ourselves to cbet entire range, since im also 3betting 78s/76s in this spot or TT PF, we should have the advantage
Turn
($10.16)
7
T
7
K
,
Getting value from draws and few weaker Kx, some strong Tx
River
($22.82)
7
T
7
K
3
, ,
In game, I didnt feel to good about pulling this value bet through, since there isnt too much worse wed get called by. I would expect hes capable to arrive here also with slowplayed 7x. On the other hand, check folding here feels pretty stupid. I looked at the solver solution and it had 16 EV for betting and 6 for X/C.. but with the X/C, it also lets the opponent bluff with every sort of missed hand (AsQx, AQs, FDs, 98s, QJs..), and I see some of those but not all.. am I just overthinking and it should be a jam, or maybe something in between (like betting 30% to get calls from Tx as well, folding to raise mostly)?
Final Pot
MP wins $22.82
Loading 4 Comments...
I like the idea of a small blockbet OTR. The K is so good for your range that i want to bluff it close 100% if im not having it. So i guess i will have to bet it as often if im having it. And there is still tons of hands that might call this small riverbet (Tx/88/99/JJ/QQ/KJ). Gets tough if we get raised though.
As played: I guess we have to call the river. There is still a lot of hands that might bluff you: 89s/FDs and a lot of random floats like QJs/AJs/AQs.
I couldnt agree more. Nice toughts.
Hey man, one thing i noticed (also from your other post, about the bluff catching) is that you go for the 33% on the flop. This is normally pretty fine, but i always tend go bigger on wet flops like these. You will generate more fold equity. Villain can have tons of draws here. Especially since he's pretty short, so the spr is also pretty low. This of-course since you also 3bet him pre. I would definitely go for it with this hand, villains in these pools tend to show up with a lot of missed draws, 10x, 88, 99, JJ type hands. You want to be playing for stacks with your turned top pair imo.
Yeah probably a pretty good hand to bet big with here, I assume I talked myself into betting smaller, because of the paired 7 on the board (and I can have those as well with 87s, 76s) where I wouldnt bet trips as big to let my opponent catch up. But probably fine to exploitatively size up here
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