NL25z KJs bluff 180bb deep
Posted by 1BuckPlease
Posted by 1BuckPlease posted in Low Stakes
NL25z KJs bluff 180bb deep
SB: $25.60
BB: $25.87
UTG: $27.85
MP: $27.28
CO: $40.15 (Hero)
V: 23/19/12 h: 1k he is actually one of the best regs in the field.
AFF: 33% AFT: 37% AFR: 28%
WTSD: 23%
W$SD: 70%
Blinds are regs too, with 6-7% 3b.
V's preflop range: http://www.pokerhandrange.com/hand/ashxobpfih4axkhmvhnmrj
OTF, a float looked nice, I had lots of BD eq, my capped range fits this flop very well. He cbets 70% (10) in 3bet pots, so his range had not been narrowed too much. My plan was to play x/r OTT if it was a brick, but now, I really don't like my way of thinking, because I was blocking almost his entire bluffing range here, and he will hardly fold Ax for my bet on turn so I will have to continue it OTR most of the time.
OTT
I thought, this Q helps my range a lot. AQ is blocked from the board, I block AK, AJ, KQ, QJ, QT. Interesting bet sizing, looked like a blocking bet, but it does not count a lot in my plan. I picked some EQ, thought it is a good spot to start my bluff operation OTR. After he called my x/r, I modified his range into that: http://www.pokerhandrange.com/hand/jpk1fnmmtbz
OTR
If I was right, there are 35combos from 76, wich must be folded (A2s-ATs. TT, JJ) and he will call with every Qx, AK, AJ, the other 41 combos, which means I made a mistake here.
Ps.: Maybe, I am on a blind track, and this play was clear spewing. I would be very greateful for every help and analysis.
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