NL25z Folding 2P OTT after getting shoved on
Posted by downflux01
Posted by
downflux01
posted in
Low Stakes
NL25z Folding 2P OTT after getting shoved on
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players)
BN: $49.31
SB: $25.00
BB: $25.00
UTG: $26.01
MP: $29.55
CO: $28.63 (Hero)
SB: $25.00
BB: $25.00
UTG: $26.01
MP: $29.55
CO: $28.63 (Hero)
Preflop
($0.35)
Hero is CO with
K
T
, , ,
Flop
($1.61)
J
K
T
, , ,
Im mostly checking OOP. I like it in particular here, since villains range should consist mostly of PPs that could find a stab along with other pair+draws. Against a bet im mostly reraising here though. He wont have too many sets (since those 3b PF), other than that im putting him mainly on FDs, pair+draws, some 2ps .. not sure if he slowplays a made straight on such a board.
Turn
($7.91)
J
K
T
7
, ,
Looking at the range given above, think we have healthy equity to bet big again and charge most of his draws. Against a reshove I need 33% though, but I dont see us having that: we have some twopairs like JT beat, but other than that we are chopping at most or dominated by better two pair / made-turned straight. AQ wouldnt be too frequently in his range in my book, but its possible that some players flat that here. I gave him some jams with some combo draws (nut fd + gs f.e.), but still only get to 23% eq.
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I like the OOP check but more from an exploitative standpoint. BTN will be stabbing too often. And we have a decent amount of showdown hands that want to get there cheap. I wouldn't simplify here and go range check though. This board gives us a solid advantage and I would try to drive it home by having a decent betting range for a decent size.
This hand seems fine as a check as it's less likely BTN has a showdown hand that he won't bet blocking the T. Check raise for value is fine.
Seems good. There is KQ, QT, JQ, and even worse made hands such as JT that we are getting value from. Seems solid.
We need to call 19.17 to win 57.61. Your 33% is on the mark, it's 33.28%.
I've been playing around with the hands you have posted. It seems to depend on how often BTN is bluffing.
Range: TT,KJs-KTs,Q9s,JTs,98s,AdJd,QdJd,Ad9d,Ad8d,KJo is very value heavy. It has some bluffs in Ad9d, Ad8d, AdJd, QdJd we are not calling. When I add three combo's nut flushdraws Ad5d-Ad3d then this already becomes a breakeven call.
This range does not contain AQ in BTN's range. For every 2 combo's of AQ BTN would need to add about 1 combo of AdXd bluff to keep us interested in calling.
Might be worth more to look at your own range and see that way if KT needs to be called or can be folded. We don't block bluffs but we also block hands that we beat. And not blocking straights. We have straights, sets, better 2 pair. Maybe it's not needed to call this but unsure about your range.
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