NL25z Facing triple barrel in 3b pot with connected board
Posted by downflux01
Posted by
downflux01
posted in
Low Stakes
NL25z Facing triple barrel in 3b pot with connected board
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players)
BN: $42.99
SB: $27.50
BB: $25.25
UTG: $11.62
MP: $12.60
CO: $38.21 (Hero)
SB: $27.50
BB: $25.25
UTG: $11.62
MP: $12.60
CO: $38.21 (Hero)
Preflop
($0.35)
Hero is CO with
4
4
, , , ,
Flop
($4.12)
6
7
9
,
This is a board that should be bet big very infrequently by BB, also seeing that we have more 88 and other pair+straight draws in our range (in theory he should probably also have those SC, but they mostly a linear range with some suited Ax from my experience). So Im already not happy here and with my assumptions (him betting with all sorts of overpairs, some AdKx or AxKd), we are pretty break even here with 44. With my assumptions, solver liked to call here at least with 55. So Im already considering to fold here in hindsight
Turn
($9.54)
6
7
9
5
,
Picking up an OESD (prob with some reverse implied odds on some outs, due to him being able to play his one card diamonds like that), I just dont see what bets as aggressively here from his value hands (maybe some top sets or overpairs+FD he got married to) .. I see everything halfway reasonable checking here to be fair apart from the absolute nuts.
River
($22.12)
6
7
9
5
J
,
After him jamming, I assume this will be a very infrequently bluffed board by population and folded.. plus didnt like to herocall here only to be shown some funky overpair+FD that overvalued itself
Final Pot
BB wins $22.12
I nodelocked this in a solver and it likes to raise with all sort of slowplayed sets, twopairs and flushes OTT. My line would have been taken with 55 at least. River is being called with some slowplayed lower twopairs, every other call is pretty breakeven
Loading 2 Comments...
IMO the flopcall is pretty ambicious and you seem to point that out as well. What was your reasoning for calling here? There should be a decent diefference between 44 and 55 here also. And i guess im also tempted to fold 55 here OTF already.
Did you check this specific combo in pio?
My take: I like river; preflop is marginal but l lean to calling; flop is loose but defensible; but I don't like turn.
River seems like a clear fold - there's a straight and flush on board, calling with 5th pair has to give the triple barrel villain a massive bluffing range. Given your interest so far, it seems villain has to be very aggressive to have anything other than Ad in his bluffing range (AdKo and AdTo feel most likely but doubt they offset all the value hands).
Preflop - meh, set mining with low PPs, in position...
Flop: I feel like I lean towards folding but given the flush draw and connected board, it's possible villain is cbetting wide and will be one and done unless he improves. Given that you have a flush draw, it might be worth a float as you can improve to weak made hand. Given the flop is good for your range, you might be able to turn your hand to a bluff and make a move on a bricked turn if villain checks...
Turn: I think this is a fold. I don't even think you're super excited about hitting that straight as I don't know if you get much value from it. You're beaten by flushes and a T so many times...
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