NL25z BUvEP 3b triple barrel spot
Posted by downflux01
Posted by
downflux01
posted in
Low Stakes
NL25z BUvEP 3b triple barrel spot
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players)
BN: $41.90 (Hero)
SB: $37.12
BB: $34.25
UTG: $29.91
MP: $25.00
CO: $25.00
SB: $37.12
BB: $34.25
UTG: $29.91
MP: $25.00
CO: $25.00
UTG is a reg, no other information
Preflop
($0.35)
Hero is BN with
A
Q
, , , ,
Not exactly sure why I sized it down like that, would like something along 3x more .. but Ive seen people going a bit smaller vs earlier positions, where ranges are stronger
Flop
($4.27)
K
8
K
, ,
Board im cbetting range, think sizing down here looks even a bit more valueish and I have some backdoors where Im already considering to go for multiple streets, so it also keeps his range a bit wider for future FE
Turn
($6.69)
K
8
K
9
, ,
Im mainly giving up with other non spade combos of AQo here, but we can get better SDV (TT-QQ) with no spade to fold, while we block his potential flushes.. and if he happens to have trips, we still got some healthy outs to get to our spade draw. Id also be betting this turn with trips to get value from TT-QQ that do have a spade.
River
($13.87)
K
8
K
9
5
, , ,
After analyzing this spot, I dont like betting this particular combo of AQo here:
- We block some of his folds that have called the turn (QsQx)
- The Q blocker itself is irrelevant and doesnt block his trips he would be calling the river with (Ks already on the board and I assume he only arrives here with KQs, so wed ideally want a Q with a club/diamond
- At the same time, it would be good then to block some As flushes instead (so I would triple barrel here with AsQd/AsQc instead)
- We block some of his folds that have called the turn (QsQx)
- The Q blocker itself is irrelevant and doesnt block his trips he would be calling the river with (Ks already on the board and I assume he only arrives here with KQs, so wed ideally want a Q with a club/diamond
- At the same time, it would be good then to block some As flushes instead (so I would triple barrel here with AsQd/AsQc instead)
Loading 4 Comments...
yeah bluffing Ace of spade only and pretty much for big size is the way to go. His calling range suppose to be trips+ and all Kx are close to breakeven calls. Our value range is fairly tight as well AsK+ for value.
This line is non standard, hard to know how people will react to small 3bet and so on. But this bluff should be alright at some % in vacuum. Though consider still sizing up river, no need to shove but betting something like 3/4 of the pot is the way to go. If you have KQ you can't valuebet it for pretty much any size except small one, but small size still suck as reopening action isn't ideal. And for example when you have Kx yourself there a big chance that villain have flush/trips because you block his calling range
I mean I'd also arrive here with other flushes, 99 (88 even I think) and strong trips with AK, so I would say it isnt that tight. Im not sure if someone if people start go into bluffcatching mode with their PPs+clubs if I turn it up too much OTR, since as you said, we dont have as many trips that want to bet big here.
When in the past I used to pick anything remotely bluffable (regardless of their EV, if its breakeven or marginal), I was surprised to see that bluffing here with the mentioned AsQx combos is actually pretty good EV wise.
Our value range is tight because we can't bet anything below AK(with spade blocker) for value in theory and that's not many combos to be honest (maybe 10ish). Reason: he doesn't need to call us much and if we valuebet all trips we valuetown ourself; p.s:exploitative vs weak players we can deviate.
You may also 3bet QJs and JTs maybe even 67s+ and have couple more flushes that you would bet bigger river and maybe turn. I guess he 4bets at least his non suited AK's so lets say he has 4 combos of AK at best and calls with his TT-QQ (15 combos as you have Qs) that should fold out before the river. ATs-AQs and also his AQo (maybe he 4bet bluffs say 2 out of the remaining 8 combos of AQ leaving 6) should call and be folded out too. Since people are always aware of AK being in a 3betting range I'm thinking QJ of spades makes sense for UTG as calling with worse OOP dosen't make sense to me when he can fold a fair bit of his tight range from EP. Having 99 for UTG is also reasonable but some players fold it I believe so say 2 combos of that set and same for 88 IMO. He is repping a tight range. Would he value shove/merge KQs as a bluff OTR. Doubt it he would worry call?
Anyone disagree or add value to that thought process?
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