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NL25z BBvBU X/R OTF facing 2x overbet OTR

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NL25z BBvBU X/R OTF facing 2x overbet OTR

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players) BN: $80.99
SB: $43.95
BB: $42.04 (Hero)
UTG: $44.38
MP: $66.34
CO: $46.63
No reads
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is BB with K T
3 folds, BN raises to $0.50, SB folds, Hero calls $0.25
Flop ($1.10) T 4 3
Hero checks, BN bets $0.36, Hero raises to $1.27, BN calls $0.91
Vs a range bet I would like to raise some of my stronger Tx here. Expecting him to continue with his toppair+, 55-99, some High cards with BDFD and gutshots
Turn ($3.64) T 4 3 6
Hero checks, BN bets $2.12, Hero calls $2.12
I figured I have a good number of Tx beat of him, but dont want to value town myself vs stronger value and expect that people usually play straightforward here (checking some weaker Tx even, while betting better ones and overpairs). Looking at Flopzilla, it seems like I would have 60% with my assumptions, so maybe double barrel is also the way to avoid such spots with random assumptions.
River ($7.88) T 4 3 6 4
Hero checks, BN bets $18.30, Hero folds
I dont see vil overbetting with overpairs here, but mainly strong value makes sense to me (TT, 66, 33, 44) .. theres not much of these combos left though and he could be just spazzing with the gutshots (A5 mainly) he bet OTT after seeing that I slowed down.
Final Pot BN wins $7.88

3 Comments

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RaoulFlush 4 years, 10 months ago

I guess you are searching for reasons on a call without any needs here . Do you really expect ppl to bet/call the flop with overcards and BDFD here often (ofc they should, but a lot of ppl tend do not do it)?
Both of your ranges are super wide due to the positions and so both of you have all sets and 2p combos i guess (as well as 57s). So as you mentioned there is only A5 left for bluffing (+ maybe some 3x). I like the XR OTF and the XC OTT...But river looks like a snapfold to me.

downflux01 4 years, 10 months ago

Maybe yeah, seems like he needs to always bluff here and there arent many combos left. So youd still check KT, would you bet AT though OTT?

RaoulFlush 4 years, 10 months ago

I tend to XC KT here as well...I guess we are heavily polarised and Villain is still uncapped. So KT becomes too thin going for 3 streets and same goes for AT....

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