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NL25 - Thin Value Shove vs weaker player

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

NL25 - Thin Value Shove vs weaker player

CO: $23.46
BN: $25
SB: $25.41 (Hero)
BB: $26.70
UTG: $60.50
HJ: $25.35
UTG: RFI 20%,Ft3bet 28% Raise Cbet IP 14%, AGF 1.9, WTSD 31%, 4bet UTG 15,5% (#37k)
Preflop ($0.35) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt A K
UTG raises to $0.75, HJ folds, CO folds, BN folds, Hero raises to $2.80, BB folds, UTG calls $2.05
Vs Regs/Nits I just call AKs here, but vs a weaker it's definately a 3bet.
Flop ($5.95) K 3 Q (2 Players)
Hero bets $4.50, UTG raises to $9, Hero calls $4.50
Looks like KQ or a draw (expect to a see a 4bet with QQ/KK from this type of player).
Turn ($23.95) K 3 Q T (2 Players)
Hero checks, UTG checks
River ($23.95) K 3 Q T A (2 Players)
What do you think guys? Do we have a valueshove on the river here?

Kind regards :)

6 Comments

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Knoxox 10 years, 6 months ago

I would just check and win the pot a lot when he xb. When you shove I think you're only getting called by Jx (which he shouldn't have a lot), flushes & some KK&QQ (if he has that). And even if he calls with KQ it doesn't make up for the fact that you're going to lose a lot when you get called.

I would bet a bit smaller on the flop though because with this sizing you have an awkward SPR on the turn.


cpau 10 years, 6 months ago

Yeah I dont think you are winning often enough to value shove the river. His cb turn is kinda strange given the flop raises. I can only see QQ and KQ or a FD (but I dont see why he would cb his turned flush..)

jaypatel33 10 years, 6 months ago

Flop is way too big, as played I am callig the min riase, but shutting down if he continues to barrel.


OTR, I definately check, villain cant really have anything strong enough to call off on such a coordinated board.

Limp Limpson 10 years, 6 months ago

I dont understand his line+he does have semilegit Jx combos, so I'd check and pray for showdown. JT is the only thing that marginally makes sense, but I dont really expect him to minraise draws otf.

WotaWaster 10 years, 6 months ago

Think I prefer a bluff to a valueshove. 

His AF doesn't seem overly high, i would weight the minraise to strong value hands or a find out where he's at with a Queen as opposed to draws.  Very ambitious he calls with a worse 2 pairs when the flush and 1 card straight both hit.  We may fold out a chop or sets that slowed down on the flush card.

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