NL25 - Thin Value Shove vs weaker player
Posted by kevson180
Posted by
kevson180
posted in
Low Stakes
NL25 - Thin Value Shove vs weaker player
CO: $23.46
BN: $25
SB: $25.41 (Hero)
BB: $26.70
UTG: $60.50
HJ: $25.35
BN: $25
SB: $25.41 (Hero)
BB: $26.70
UTG: $60.50
HJ: $25.35
UTG: RFI 20%,Ft3bet 28% Raise Cbet IP 14%, AGF 1.9, WTSD 31%, 4bet UTG 15,5% (#37k)
Preflop
($0.35)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
A
K
UTG raises to $0.75, HJ folds, CO folds, BN folds, Hero raises to $2.80, BB folds, UTG calls $2.05
UTG raises to $0.75, HJ folds, CO folds, BN folds, Hero raises to $2.80, BB folds, UTG calls $2.05
Vs Regs/Nits I just call AKs here, but vs a weaker it's definately a 3bet.
Flop
($5.95)
K
3
Q
(2 Players)
Hero bets $4.50,
UTG raises to $9,
Hero calls $4.50
Looks like KQ or a draw (expect to a see a 4bet with QQ/KK from this type of player).
Turn
($23.95)
K
3
Q
T
(2 Players)
Hero checks,
UTG checks
River
($23.95)
K
3
Q
T
A
(2 Players)
What do you think guys? Do we have a valueshove on the river here?
Kind regards :)
Loading 6 Comments...
I would just check and win the pot a lot when he xb. When you shove I think you're only getting called by Jx (which he shouldn't have a lot), flushes & some KK&QQ (if he has that). And even if he calls with KQ it doesn't make up for the fact that you're going to lose a lot when you get called.
I would bet a bit smaller on the flop though because with this sizing you have an awkward SPR on the turn.
Value shove is pretty optimistic, showdown much better.
His flop raise is rarely a draw on this board.
Yeah I dont think you are winning often enough to value shove the river. His cb turn is kinda strange given the flop raises. I can only see QQ and KQ or a FD (but I dont see why he would cb his turned flush..)
Flop is way too big, as played I am callig the min riase, but shutting down if he continues to barrel.
OTR, I definately check, villain cant really have anything strong enough to call off on such a coordinated board.
I dont understand his line+he does have semilegit Jx combos, so I'd check and pray for showdown. JT is the only thing that marginally makes sense, but I dont really expect him to minraise draws otf.
Think I prefer a bluff to a valueshove.
His AF doesn't seem overly high, i would weight the minraise to strong value hands or a find out where he's at with a Queen as opposed to draws. Very ambitious he calls with a worse 2 pairs when the flush and 1 card straight both hit. We may fold out a chop or sets that slowed down on the flush card.
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