UTG: 21/19 regular, 8% 3bet, AF 4.2, WTSD 26%, cbet flop 75%

CO: 38/15 recreational player, he posted the SB+BB in this hand

UTG is probably infinite wide because of the dead money. i think KJo is not a good hand to flat here because it has no playability multiway. i should flat more suited connectors / one gappers and pocket pairs, maybe suited Axs. but i was greedy and wanted to play against the CO.

the turn sizing is probably to small because the recreational player is calling with any Kx, lots of Jx, flushdraws and flushes. i should make it about 9$.

15.60 $ left to play

do you jam the river here? villain is a somewhat solide regular and my range looks very strong here. i cant really jam flushes for value because he can´t really bluffcatcht with hands like KQ, KT here.

so my value range should consists full houses and he is probably going to call with AK, AA. but i dont know if he check/calls the urn with AA (with Ad he will probably do this) and/or if he leads the river with the nuts.

there are 3 combos AK, 3 combos AA.

is he check/calling the river with 6 worst combos as well? otherwise we can´t jam for value here. JJ (1 combo), AQdd, ATdd, A9dd (3 combos). maybe he calls with 50% of his KQs (2 combos). than this is a breakeven shove. i could discount some AK, AA probably because he would bet AdKc on the turn and/or openjam the river but he could lead the turn with AQdd as well so i it´s hart to define his range exactly.


i think i should jam here because people are still calling too much but it is very very close.

what do you think?