nl25 terrible river for overpair
Posted by Jeff_
Posted by
Jeff_
posted in
Low Stakes
nl25 terrible river for overpair
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players)
BN: $25.00
SB: $55.42
BB: $25.35
UTG: $25.00 (Hero)
MP: $25.29
CO: $35.31
SB: $55.42
BB: $25.35
UTG: $25.00 (Hero)
MP: $25.29
CO: $35.31
Preflop
($0.35)
Hero is UTG with
K
K
, ,
villian rec. 41/23 40h fold vs cbet 50%(8)
Flop
($1.59)
2
9
Q
,
Turn
($3.59)
2
9
Q
8
,
River
($8.59)
2
9
Q
8
Q
,
small size so we dont need to be good that often.
Loading 7 Comments...
Sure we don't need to be right that often, but honestly how often do you believe he bets under half pot with something worse.
I am not certain about this but I would probably either go c/c or c/R with my entire range in this spot, as this flop pretty much smashes villains calling range.
Looks good. Pretty easy x/f on river imo.
Everything gets there otr. Very few bluffs left for villain to bluff with. You block the KJ and the KT gutters with which he might call twice and then bluff river but you don't block any of his value-range except KQ.
Your bluff-catchers here are AQ and QK/QJ and JTs.
Check fold IMO.
U played it okay.
his bluffs in this spot would be JJ/TT, and folding KK here gives these combos a massively +ev bluff on river. That said, I am not calling here, unless I respect my opponents play.
I dont expect the player pool to be tricky enough to say: " I can bet TT so he folds AA or KK as he never has trips or better when he checks the river. " Altough your thought is obviously on a higher level and it would be extremly profitable against a SOLID! villain to bluff for only 40% pot here.
Well played.
Standard fish call/call/min river bet is Qx at worst, more likely a flush.
Standard ::sigh:: fold.
Wp.
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