NL25 river play
Posted by TK1991
Posted by
TK1991
posted in
Low Stakes
NL25 river play
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players)
BB: $38.55
UTG: $27.72
MP: $25.02
CO: $28.82 (Hero)
BN: $25.00
SB: $25.00
UTG: $27.72
MP: $25.02
CO: $28.82 (Hero)
BN: $25.00
SB: $25.00
Preflop
($0.35)
Hero is CO with
T
T
, , ,
Flop
($1.59)
K
A
T
,
Turn
($3.71)
K
A
T
9
, , ,
River
($21.43)
K
A
T
9
3
,
Hi,
Is there a better way to play that river? Isnt it overplay? What do you think about this?
BTN is REG 21/15, 3b 5
Thanks!
Loading 10 Comments...
Looks fine to me. We are not going to fold vs a bet OTR anyway, so shoving river ourselves is the best play. We dont want to give him the chance of checking back his 2p-stuff (or maybe even AJ)
Would anything in your opinion change if Aheart was not there?
Thanks!
I dont think so.
A Button flatting range has enough KT/AT/AJ or maybe even KQ/KJ that might herocall (esp. when hearts brick) but would check back the river mostly.
My villains would only show me straights and flushes here After that raise and this jam but they are extremely, And i suspect atypically, exploitable
So you would xf this river?
You know what? i misread the action. Hero checkraised the turn. I expect to see a lot of them but I think a jam is reasonable.
I think it boils down to whether you think villain will call his 2P combos. Your range does look pretty strong and I do wonder if you reach the river and still have a bluff range? Would you bet flop and checkraise turn here with Kc7c or 7c6c? So in villains shoes I think I would find the fold with AT. But if you think villain is less thinking (21/15/5 doesnt scream very competent to me) it might be the right play.
On the other hand, if villain had something like Ac5c (if that is in their calling range), would they turn that into a bluff once you check?
Why hero checks turn??? And not double barrel?
I think checking here with the intention of check-raising is a play that works very well especially against population on NL25. A lot of people here over-float bet from my experience, so its good to have a check-raising range OTT. If you always check/call check/fold here, you make it a bit too easy for villain to realize their equity.
It's not a play I would do everytime with a set here though.
On this exact runout, I think x/raising might be a mistake though.. lot of pair+gutter/draw which may take a free card.. there aren't many unpaired draws in his range...
Against a reasonably tight villain, I don't think I would be shoving the river.. I mean from which hands are expecting to get called? It has to be at least twopair given the action (your range looks super strong with almost zero bluffs). Due to blocker effect, there are 0 combos of T9s and KTs.. 1 ATs and possibly Ac3c, 2 combos of A9s and 3 combos of K9s that makes 6 combos (I believe that he might be find some nitty folds with at least some two pair hands).
Let's go to his value region. 6h5h,7h6h,8h7h,JhQh,Kh9h that's 5combos if he never bet pair+FD OTT which is already a bit assumptive.
I mean vs the fish or loose reg I would call.. but even regs at nl25 are starting to overfold in underbluffed lines. Like really he isn't dominating any part of your value betting range and I can't imagine any bluff which you could potentially play this way.
Why not x/folding? I mean guys are usually not thin vbetting enough and bluffing as well. We are dealing with a guy where we pretty confident that he falls into this category. He never bets worse for value and won't be bluffing you off (not just bc they aren't bluffing enough, but also because he doesn't really have an unpaired bluff)
Don't get me wrong, I would made the same mistake (and value bet this river), because x/calling isn't really an option and x/folding just sucks, bc I had a really strong hand a street before and I am not able to digest that x/folding is the way to go (my ego would be strongly against that:)
Be the first to add a comment