NL25 - Lost OTT with a very good hand and draw

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NL25 - Lost OTT with a very good hand and draw

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players) MP: $23.42
CO: $25.62
BN: $27.82
SB: $29.03
BB: $27.36 (Hero)
UTG: $42.21
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is BB with J 8
3 folds, BN raises to $0.75, SB folds, Hero calls $0.50
Flop ($1.60) J 4 8
Hero checks, BN bets $0.50, Hero calls $0.50
Turn ($2.60) J 4 8 9
Hero checks, BN checks
River ($2.60) J 4 8 9 T
Hero checks, BN checks
Final Pot BB wins and shows two pair, Jacks and Eights.
BB wins $2.46
Rake is $0.14

BTN is a loose and competent reg, OTF I don't think I have a x/r range on this texture. My plan is to x/r turn.
I don't know whether I should bet on this turn, basically we have the flush redraw along with our strong made hand, so our hand is high in equity. If I bet I expect a lot of folds, but at the same time if I don't bet I can lose value...

5 Comments

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Mancuso 6 years, 3 months ago

I'd consider 3betting this pre but calling is fine, too.
Since ranges are wider and it's harder for villain to properly defend vs a check-raise when he Cbets 0.33psb, I'm gonna check-raise wider. You'll have lots of backdoor gutshots, oesd to balance your values.
I don't mind to XR B B on safe runnouts.

Nothing you can do vs these bad runnouts.

Mancuso 6 years, 3 months ago

When you just XC flop vs this small sizing, you allow the villain to see the river for free when he wants for just 1/3psb OTF. The 9h is not bad, you got a flushdraw yet, but you can't charge for a river. And this is a bad river combined with the board. And then you can conclude that position is important a lot!

frontdoorbackdoor 6 years, 3 months ago

You probably should have a x/r range on this flop vs this sizing, otherwise its very difficult to defend properly and players will bet/call quite wide, so would for sure x/r here. 9x probably improves his range a bit more when you x/r and he calls as he'll have more 89, 9T, J9 type hands than you will. Don't think you can do much else as played though on this river.

Samu Patronen 6 years, 3 months ago

Raising flop is generally better againts this sizing againts most opponents. Not having a "raising range" is a big mistake, you want to raise many hands for value and for bluff. I would guess that solver would raise 2 pair+ pretty much always, then a lot of Jx (good ones, QJ/KJ/AJ) and balance that out with various draws.

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