NL25 linecheck with kings

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NL25 linecheck with kings

BN: $91.52
SB: $26.37 (Hero)
BB: $31.58
UTG: $25.35
HJ: $75.31
CO: $26.56
Villain is a fish and playing 26/15 fold to 3bet:25 wtsd:40 (on 10 spots)
Preflop ($0.35) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt K K
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO folds, BN raises to $0.50, Hero raises to $2.25, BB folds, BN calls $1.75
Flop ($4.85) 5 6 Q (2 Players)
Hero bets $3.25, BN calls $3.25
Turn ($11.35) 5 6 Q 9 (2 Players)
Hero bets $5.75, BN calls $5.75
River ($22.85) 5 6 Q 9 Q (2 Players)
Hero checks, BN bets $6.60, Hero calls $6.60

5 Comments

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WM2K 12 years, 1 month ago
I don t usually bet this big in 3 bet pot OTF and I usually would bet bigger on this turn. You bet 2/3 OTF and 1/2 OTT. I d reverse it although as an betting larger here vs weak opposition OTF is certainly quite reasonable. I d just follow up with a 2/3 pot bet OTT.

Its unlikely you have enough value here on a river jam so gotta decide on a c/c or c/f. His most likely unpaired FDs are Axs otherwise its only JTs but he could be slightly looser. Either way my point is that he likely takes A high to showdown as well as any worse pair. You obv don t have enough equity vs Qx, and TJs and you need him to have 6 other bluffs to make this call if his value range is Q9s+,KQ,AQ,99,66,55,87s. He ll raise a set or 87s some %.

(99,8x7x,66,55)@50,(AxQx,AxQy,KxQx,KxQy,QxJx-Qx9x)@100,(AsJs,AsTs,As8s,As7s,JsTs)@100 vs this range we have 17% and need 18.5 %. Theres 4 bluff combos on top of the TJs. Its pretty close but I think its likely to be worse then better here so I c/f.
cold7betfold 12 years, 1 month ago
Not sure, but I think he could also bet JJ/TT like that.
WM2K 12 years, 1 month ago
Ya its hard to say how many combos of those hands he shows up with here. He can potentially 4 bet JJ preflop and perhaps also TT but unlikely. He may also fold either of those hands OTT. Then he may check them back too. But ok he could have a non zero amount of those hands even though by betting them he is 100% turning them into a bluff. His sizing OTR here is pretty gross as we re pretty close to indifferent with KK. Any bigger and its easily a fold and any smaller we re just getting a good enough of a price. This sizing and he has to be making some unlikely value bets or bluffs. I wouldnt hate a call and definitely think its defensible.

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