NL25 KQo

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NL25 KQo

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players) BN: $40.30 (Hero)
SB: $26.71
BB: $34.16
UTG: $25.06
MP: $24.86
CO: $155.32
BB is unknown regular for me, 23/20 after a ~30 hands.
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is BN with Q K
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.62, SB folds, BB raises to $2.10, Hero calls $1.48
Flop ($4.30) 8 9 6
BB checks, Hero bets $2.05, BB calls $2.05
This is interesting.
Since its standard to bet higher on these types of wet boards, wasnt my 1/2pot bet a mistake?

Anyway i should have plan to bet flop and continue on FD complete/A/K/Q/J turns. Right now i just think i should bet for 3/4 since i would do that with my valuehands. And im not even thinking about balancing my sizings but about how good regular player gonna see my range in this particular spot.
Turn ($8.40) 8 9 6 8
BB checks, Hero bets $4.01, BB calls $4.01
I dont think i should continue on this card.
River ($16.42) 8 9 6 8 3
BB checks, Hero bets $7.84, BB calls $7.84
Its effect of bad call on turn.
I was like 'his range cannot be good, he should fold to 3rd barrel'.

1 Comment

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kiDcAnUck 10 years ago

using game theory concepts-

88,99,66,89s,86s,57s./ 15 Value Combos.
(A2d+,KTd+,QTs,JTs,T9s,67s,78s,97s./ 33 Bluff Combos.
value:bluff ratio = 1:2
You may play more or less hands but the ratio would still be close enough.
Having bet 1/2 pot on the river giving villain 3:1, only having to be good 1/4 of the time
But vs your range he is good 2/3 of the time and has a 'clear call'$
Basically from a balance perspective we have to many bluffs on river and need to structure our postflop ranges differently.

from an exploitative standpoint, some players might give too much credit in this spot eg;
the population is passive so its better to fold more than optimal vs unkowns, and can fold AA under rare circumstances, but if I were to be bluffing here I would be setting up to shove on riv maximizing pressure like you would with those value hands.
This spot were going to be perceived to have lots of bluffs I think.

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