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NL25 Is this a bluff

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

NL25 Is this a bluff

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players) MP: $25.00
CO: $25.00
BN: $25.82
SB: $71.13
BB: $28.59
UTG: $27.60 (Hero)
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is UTG with 9 9
Hero raises to $0.62, 3 folds, SB raises to $2.25, BB calls $2.00, Hero calls $1.63
Flop ($6.75) 5 7 2
SB bets $3.00, BB folds, Hero calls $3.00
Turn ($12.75) 5 7 2 A
SB checks, Hero bets $4.50, SB calls $4.50
River ($21.75) 5 7 2 A 8
SB checks, Hero bets $17.85 and is all in, SB calls $17.85

Lets have a look at his range: Im curious if u agree with some of my assumptions

What can he check on turn:
TT/JJ/QQ/KK = 24 combos (i think he should fold +- 20 combos of this on river?)
A3s/A4s = 6 combos (i dont think he has all low suited aces) so lets say 3 combos of this.) (he will have a hard time to call river with it)
A5s = 2 combos
Higher Ax Ak Aq AJs = 27 combos ( question is how many of this he will check on the turn, would like to know what theory is saying,) If i have to make a guess: theory puts half of it lets say 14 combos in check range. But i think in pool i can put less in his X range, because pool is probably not checking strong enough. lets say he keeps 8 combos of the stronger Ax in range.

I can have some sets, and some twopairs. Problem could be that i have not so many strong Ax. Good thing could be i dont have so many bluffs, so he can call less. So do u think i can bluff 99.

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