NL25: Is this a bad 3 barrel bluff?
Posted by FatCat
Posted by FatCat posted in Low Stakes
NL25: Is this a bad 3 barrel bluff?
Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players)
BN: $36.69 (Hero)
SB: $28.02
BB: $80.50
UTG: $35.07
MP: $29.31
CO: $25.00
SB: $28.02
BB: $80.50
UTG: $35.07
MP: $29.31
CO: $25.00
Preflop
($0.35)
Hero is BN with
4
4
, , , ,
Flop
($4.01)
J
Q
9
, ,
SB has:
3bet from sb 14, vs BTN 13 (depolarized)
3betpot cbet: 44
fold to float in 3bet pot: 60
Good enough reason to bet, which was my plan originally
3bet from sb 14, vs BTN 13 (depolarized)
3betpot cbet: 44
fold to float in 3bet pot: 60
Good enough reason to bet, which was my plan originally
Turn
($9.15)
J
Q
9
Q
, ,
On one hand it's true that we missed and that the board is getting super scary, on the other tho i feel like my range still contains all the flushdraws, all the Q and a bunch of sets here and there. His range on the other hand is capped.
Working a bit on crev i extimated that even if he aims at a 3rd nut flush, a big portion of his hands are folding (60% roughly).
Working a bit on crev i extimated that even if he aims at a 3rd nut flush, a big portion of his hands are folding (60% roughly).
River
($22.15)
J
Q
9
Q
5
, ,
I thought this is a good river to fire the third shove barrel, being his range capped so hard it's very unlikely that he has a strong flush, and even if he did i still have tons of boats in my range.
I extimated, even when he calls with the 3rd nut flush (TxTh) or better, he's still folding a very good amount of hands (60%).
I extimated, even when he calls with the 3rd nut flush (TxTh) or better, he's still folding a very good amount of hands (60%).
Final Pot
BN wins $20.94
Rake is $1.21
Rake is $1.21
Since i'm not very good with crev and i didnt weight some check/calling with strong hands by opponent OTF, neither i know if i should've been worried about that ( i don't think so my field is very soft), do you think i should've played the hand differently?
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