NL25: Is this a bad 3 barrel bluff?

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NL25: Is this a bad 3 barrel bluff?

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (6 Players) BN: $36.69 (Hero)
SB: $28.02
BB: $80.50
UTG: $35.07
MP: $29.31
CO: $25.00
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is BN with 4 4
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.50, SB raises to $1.88, BB folds, Hero calls $1.38
Flop ($4.01) J Q 9
SB checks, Hero bets $2.57, SB calls $2.57
SB has:
3bet from sb 14, vs BTN 13 (depolarized)
3betpot cbet: 44
fold to float in 3bet pot: 60

Good enough reason to bet, which was my plan originally
Turn ($9.15) J Q 9 Q
SB checks, Hero bets $6.50, SB calls $6.50
On one hand it's true that we missed and that the board is getting super scary, on the other tho i feel like my range still contains all the flushdraws, all the Q and a bunch of sets here and there. His range on the other hand is capped.
Working a bit on crev i extimated that even if he aims at a 3rd nut flush, a big portion of his hands are folding (60% roughly).
River ($22.15) J Q 9 Q 5
SB checks, Hero bets $17.25, SB folds
I thought this is a good river to fire the third shove barrel, being his range capped so hard it's very unlikely that he has a strong flush, and even if he did i still have tons of boats in my range.
I extimated, even when he calls with the 3rd nut flush (TxTh) or better, he's still folding a very good amount of hands (60%).
Final Pot BN wins $20.94
Rake is $1.21

Since i'm not very good with crev and i didnt weight some check/calling with strong hands by opponent OTF, neither i know if i should've been worried about that ( i don't think so my field is very soft), do you think i should've played the hand differently?

10 Comments

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n4sty 9 years, 11 months ago

Flop + Turn bet is close for me, really depends on villains checking range. As a default I wouldn't be doing this at the micros as I feel I would be burning money on the flop+turn unless some favourable run outs come.

taaazz 9 years, 11 months ago

What do you mean by 'close'? If we attempt to bluff this flop, we have to 3barrel most runouts, I think, which isn't a great idea with a close to zero equity hand.

n4sty 9 years, 11 months ago

It's close as in we may have enough fold equity to merit a bet on the flop, but then the turn is is massively dependent on villains flop checking range.

Ondrej Rysavy 9 years, 11 months ago

flop bet is ok, he can x/fold a lot here ,he is oop on crazy board and this board hit you hard.
But this turn help his x/call range on that board (AA-KK,AQ,AJ with one heart)

FatCat 9 years, 11 months ago

I thought the turn on one hand helps those hands that you mentioned, but on the other gives my range a good amount of fulls and some flushes alraedy, all of this hands in his range might not be so happy with getting in vs such a strong action. Would you get in with such hands?

ILoseFlips 9 years, 11 months ago

It´s a board that both hits your ranges imo. He can easily going in X/C mode with hands like AQ/KQ/AA/KK/QT/AJ... The turn is'nt a bad card for his range, I think he has a lot of Qx and also hands like AJ with the Ah or even AK with a heart plus AA/KK with a heart. So on the turn, I think he has a Q or a big heart a good amount of the time when he calls so the river isn't that great of a bluffing card imo.

I would add that preflop call is close and that I don't like 3 barrel bluffing with 0 equity so I would'nt choose 44 for it ( plus you don't block any of his good hands OTF, i would prefer a hand like A5ss for example which has better equity and block AA/AQ...)

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