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NL25 fold set turn

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

NL25 fold set turn

BB: 33.75
HJ: 23.90 (Hero)
CO: 9.62
BN: 15.03
SB: 9.71
Preflop (0.35) (5 Players)
Hero was dealt 2 2
Hero raises to 0.75, CO folds, BN folds, SB calls 0.65, BB calls 0.50
Flop (2.25) 4 3 9 (3 Players)
SB checks, BB checks, Hero checks
Turn (2.25) 2 (3 Players)
SB checks, BB bets 1.06, Hero raises to 2.90, SB folds, BB raises to 10.54, Hero folds
Final Pot
BB wins 16.29

SB:  83/56/9

BB: 17/14/9  agg 38/32/33  


I think he defends BB with hands like A5s,56. 

On the turn I think when he 3bets (also with this size) his range is 33/44/A5/56/half combos 99 that he s not 3betting cause there s the fish in/Pair+FD.  I can't see any 2P that plays like this.

Do I have to jam or fold?


ty


5 Comments

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whysoeasy 11 years, 8 months ago

Nice fold. It's exploitable since it's the top or your range but I don't think a 17/14 will exploit this anyway. 

Villain rep 33/44/99 a lot, don't think he have A5s/56s and even if we add some flushdraw (say 5) we are behind :

[22] = 30%

[99,44-33,AsQs,AsJs,AsTs,KsQs,QsJs] 70%


The only thing I'm scare of is if he do that with like TT-JJ or even I 9, nits do stupids things sometimes.


james 11 years, 8 months ago
Agreed with almost all of this. Villain is likely never bluffing here and you beat pretty much nothing in his value range. Even if he were exploiting you here it's likely going to be a pretty rare spot where you check back the flop on a coordinated board and raise the turn.


BigFiszh 11 years, 8 months ago

The fold is looking good.

@whysoeasy: I disagree with Villain not having A5s/65s in his range, he´s getting too good of a price to fold those and a 17/14 is likely not squeezing with those hands. Additionally I don´t think we´re top of oure range, I´d actually say we´re close to the bottom of our range for taking this line.

whysoeasy 11 years, 8 months ago

Yeah, prob A5s but I'm not that sure about 56s. I'm not a nit overall but I wouldn't call 56s here, it's maybe a leak but I feel I'm more gonna get coolered than winning money here (But I call A5s all days). 

Can you explain how 22 is close to the bottom of our range here ? Because 22 is the best hand I can have in this spot.


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