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NL25 bluffcatching king high to weird river lead

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

NL25 bluffcatching king high to weird river lead

Blinds: $0.10/$0.25 (5 Players) BB: $37.82
UTG: $30.76
CO: $41.04 (Hero)
BN: $26.78
SB: $77.74
Preflop ($0.35) Hero is CO with K J
UTG folds, Hero raises to $0.62, BN calls $0.62, SB folds, BB calls $0.37
Flop ($1.96) 9 Q 4
BB checks, Hero bets $1.20, BN folds, BB calls $1.20
Turn ($4.36) 9 Q 4 4
BB checks, Hero bets $2.80, BB calls $2.80
River ($9.96) 9 Q 4 4 9
BB bets $4.73, Hero calls $4.73
Final Pot BB wins and shows two pairs, Queens and Nines.
CO lost and shows two pairs, Nines and Fours.
BB wins $18.45
Rake is $0.97

This hand just didn't make any sense to me. BB is a bad reg imo (Called 4bet OOP with A6s for 25bb/100bb stack).

It's possible that it's a value bet with a 9, but if he calls twice with that he is also calling a lot of draws I think, and I beat those. I didn't think he would lead ace high or a queen ever, because those have some SDV, but he had QJ. Just what is he thinking? I don't get it.

Only thing I dont like about calling the river with my hand is that I block Jc, but there are so many other missed draws he can have because of pot odds pre. Does my call make sense?

5 Comments

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RNG 8 years ago

He likely thought you had a better q than him and took the 9 pairing as a chance to Bluff you off it.

klamsauce 8 years ago

The problem is we block draws with our hand. And he could also be bluffing with the best hand. Just call with a Q, it's easier. Our range just bet bet into 3 people. We have more than enough Qx+ to ever consider making a hero call like this.

andrespp123 8 years ago

In my opinion this call is too ambicious, i mean what are you trying to beat? yeah he checked called checked called but that doesnt mean you are gonna pay him off just because it doesnt make any sense. right?

sagepan 8 years ago

bet flop check turn
if he check this river maybe you can bluff he.
bet turn you have about +-0EV
check turn maybe you have more i think

Resolve 8 years ago

I put everything that makes sense for him to have in equilab and even if he leads his whole range (including all Ace high and better) I need 33% equity to call OTR and have 30.5-31.5.
And that's a lot of offsuit 9x...

CO 31.53% 21.62% 9.91% KsJc
BB 68.47% 58.56% 9.91% 9h9s, 4d4h, KJs-KTs, JTs, J8s, T8s, AcQc, KcQc, AcJc, QcJc, AcTc, QcTc, Ah9h, As9s, Kh9h, Ks9s, Qs9s, Jc9c, Tc9c, Ac8c, Kc8c, Qc8c, 9c8c, Ac7c, 9c7c, 8c7c, Ac6c, 8c6c, 7c6c, Ac5c, 7c5c, 6c5c, Ac4c, 5c4c, Ac3c, Ac2c, AQo, KTo+, QTo+, JTo, Ad9h, Ad9s, Ah9s, As9h, Ac9h, Ac9s, Kd9h, Kd9s, Kh9s, Ks9h, Kc9h, Kc9s, Qd9h, Qd9s, Qs9h, Qc9h, Qc9s (card removal doesn't show up here but it's on)

If he only leads AQ and better + J high and worse this is the result:
CO 30.61% 30.61% 0.00% KsJc
BB 69.39% 69.39% 0.00% 9h9s, 4d4h, AQs, JTs, J8s, T8s, AcJc, QcJc, Ah9h, As9s, Kh9h, Ks9s, Qs9s, Jc9c, Tc9c, 9c8c, 9c7c, 8c7c, 8c6c, 7c6c, 7c5c, 6c5c, Ac4c, 5c4c, AQo, Ad9h, Ad9s, Ah9s, As9h, Ac9h, Ac9s, Kd9h, Kd9s, Kh9s, Ks9h, Kc9h, Kc9s, Qd9h, Qd9s, Qs9h, Qc9h, Qc9s

It's pretty close to 0EV so probably better to just fold. Anyway I have another note on him now :D

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