NL25 3bet pot vs overbet
Posted by cold7betfold
Posted by
cold7betfold
posted in
Low Stakes
NL25 3bet pot vs overbet
UTG: $11.02
HJ: $26.85
CO: $25
BN: $38.48 (Hero)
SB: $24.12
BB: $25
HJ: $26.85
CO: $25
BN: $38.48 (Hero)
SB: $24.12
BB: $25
Villain seemed aggro.
He was opening loose and he was from russia.
Too small sample to give you stats.
He was opening loose and he was from russia.
Too small sample to give you stats.
Preflop
($0.35)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
J
Q
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO raises to $0.75, Hero raises to $2.50, SB folds, BB folds, CO calls $1.75
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO raises to $0.75, Hero raises to $2.50, SB folds, BB folds, CO calls $1.75
Flop
($5.35)
2
5
7
(2 Players)
CO checks,
Hero checks
Turn
($5.35)
2
5
7
Q
(2 Players)
CO bets $8.25
Loading 6 Comments...
3 betting QJo can be nice though. It flops TP and decent semi bluffs which is what you want out of prefop "bluffs". Bet this flop though. You have overs and he ll fold enough almost for sure. OTT this is weird. I call and probably call river but idk. What sucks about calling is you pretty much have to have a Q so it should shut him down. However I feel like villains follow this up a high % so calling then folding seems potentially really bad.
I think your hand looks to the villain like Ax, or he might only think as high as, "you missed, I bet." Against that bet, one pair is a bluff catcher. I think his value hands include flopped sets (9 combos), 75 (4 combos, but discounted to 1 bc he folds this a lot to a 3B), some AQ or KQ (16 combos). I think the villain has more worse hands than better ones here, including PPs (that probably think they are ahead), Aces, and some suited-connecter semi-bluffs.
I think you have the best hand here a lot. I think calling the turn and his river shove is the best line here.
If you look at the $8 turn bet as a commitment decision, then you have to commit $22.50 for a pot of (22.50+5.35). You need to be good 45% of the time to commit here. I'm inclined to let an aggressive go ahead and bluff me on the turn and ship it on the river.
Against a range of 77, 55, AQ, KQ, 86s, 75s, AdJd, KdJd, AdTd, KdTd, JdTd, Ad9d, Kd9d, Jd9d, Td9d, Jd8d, Td8d, 9d8d, Td7d, 9d7d, 8d7d, 7d6d.
We have 37% equity.
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