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nl200z weird spot to be honest

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nl200z weird spot to be honest

Blinds: $1.00/$2.00 (6 Players) BN: $200.00
SB: $205.70
BB: $207.34 (Hero)
UTG: $632.30
MP: $388.83
CO: $200.00
Preflop ($3.00) Hero is BB with 8 A
3 folds, BN raises to $5.00, SB folds, Hero calls $3.00
Flop ($11.00) 4 3 8
Hero checks, BN bets $6.79, Hero raises to $21.21, BN raises to $50.00, Hero calls $28.79
Turn ($111.00) 4 3 8 T
Hero checks, BN bets $30.00, Hero calls $30.00
River ($171.00) 4 3 8 T 3
Hero checks, BN bets $115.00 and is all in

BU reg, rather more agressive than average from the pool. Not much reads

Turn - do people really bet ~1/4 with JJ/QQ here? Dont think so; imagine yourself in villian shoes - BB have plenty of 65/52/A5 8x.

River is meh, hard to have bluffs in his shoes unless he specificaly 3 bet those at high % flop.

6 Comments

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Ryan 4 years, 5 months ago

Is your dynamic aggressive enough that he is reraising the flop w air or draws here? I can see it being possible.

On turn, some of that air improves on the Tx for sure. It does seem like his range is super polar here, but because some of his range is Tx, and you can have things like 3x as well, 4x, and 8x to go along with those other draws, he is using a small range sizing with strong hands+top pair, and maybe something like QJ or 99. So I can see the small bet being okay. Think we call

On riv, I think I can fold. Flop/turn we are just getting a really good price, and it’s plausible he can having a small portion of bluffs. By the river tho, I think all our assumptions need to be accurate, and many of the flop reraises seem good enough to go for value here(JT, T9). There’s potentially a significant value region and possibly a very small bluff region. I also think we can have better hands, like T8, sets ourselves, and our range will be pretty narrowed by the river I think, so sets and two pair will make up a significant portion of that range

I think I’d be flatting my range on flop. Maybe much of those value hands find a turn check raise, but not necessarily. So yeah I’d call call fold. I could see calling being okay if we are very confident, but it seems marginal and I’d err on folding

Jeff_ 4 years, 5 months ago

thanks

Is your dynamic aggressive enough that he is reraising the flop w air or draws here? I can see it being possible.

I don't face this line that often to have information. When people are cbetting small it is quite different, but still not see many 3bets.
Would guess people are more passive than solver with their flop strat

Mates. 4 years, 5 months ago

OTR, a good opponent cannot think that your range is capped since maybe 88 you 3bet preflop and that the 3 has been paired on the river, does it take you value combos?

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