nl200z flush on paired river

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nl200z flush on paired river

Blinds: $1.00/$2.00 (6 Players) BN: $215.95
SB: $208.20
BB: $221.00 (Hero)
UTG: $248.51
MP: $642.20
CO: $1844.72
Preflop ($3.00) Hero is BB with 6 Q
UTG raises to $5.00, 4 folds, Hero calls $3.00
Flop ($11.00) K 4 T
Hero checks, UTG checks
Turn ($11.00) K 4 T 9
Hero bets $11.32, UTG calls $11.32
River ($33.64) K 4 T 9 9
Hero bets $22.37, UTG raises to $99.07

opp 20/14 ( over 800hands rec or reg? (plays 2 tables) fold vs 3b 17%,cb 60% fold vs cb 50%, doesn't seems positional aware (rfi 20% from utg and pretty much all other positions)
wwsf 45 w$sd 53

on the river I certainly can size up more to pot, but decided normal healthy bet is better. When he raise huge, think he is telling that for value using FH (K9(2), T9(2), 99 (1), KK (3), TT(3) =11 quite narrow and as far for bluffs KQ,KT,AK,AA possible combos.

Actually in game I discounted much more(left him 6-7 value) and basically closed my eyes and called because easy to be breakeven( profitable) in narrow spot vs not top class player.

4 Comments

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Kalupso 6 years, 2 months ago

I have had more success folding in these spots unless villain is creative, aggressive or tilted. It's just one of the spots most people never ever bluff. Maybe we see more of these plays from people studying Doug Polks videos? I do bluff these spots with like AhTx at times or maybe T4 if I get there with it but only against certain people.

lorddenis 6 years, 2 months ago

it depends on your opponent to be making this call, if he is a loose aggressive player

I would call, But if its a tight opponent i would fold mostly in these spots,

I think people just don't bluff enough on rivers.

RunItTw1ce 6 years, 1 month ago

I think a lot of AhXh hands check back this flop and lower flush draws 87h and 76h will bet 1/3 as a range bet. The fact that villain checked back the flop leads me to believe he has some type of showdown value. Maybe a hand like J10s, T9s, ... not sure if 99 bets the flop or not. KK and TT should definitely be betting the flop. Could have checked back some AJ or AQ hands I suppose with a heart. I think it is a bit closer than people think, but I agree with the above comments that people usually do not bluff in these spots. Likely run into AhXh or T9s here. Given the fact you can have T9o and K9o in your range here I am likely to fold in this spot. Probably only call NF or better. I think 44 for bottom set would just be a call as well. T9o+ bottom of raising range on the river?

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