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nl200z AQs sqz

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nl200z AQs sqz

Blinds: $1.00/$2.00 (6 Players) BN: $200.00
SB: $234.36
BB: $728.73
UTG: $708.05
MP: $206.83
CO: $200.00 (Hero)
Preflop ($3.00) Hero is CO with Q A
UTG raises to $5.00, MP folds, Hero raises to $16.00, 2 folds, BB calls $14.00, UTG calls $11.00
Flop ($49.00) 7 A 7
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $15.36, BB folds, UTG raises to $39.00, Hero calls $23.64
Turn ($127.00) 7 A 7 J
UTG bets $41.00, Hero calls $41.00
River ($209.00) 7 A 7 J J
UTG bets $612.05 and is all in, Hero

utg 22/17 3b 12%. Seems aggressive postflop and taggish preflop
Few hands before he stacked while missplaying his hand ( or too assumptive play).
BB seems like a weak player

Postflop: Don't see too many reasons to be betting range there multiway, so I'm betting reasonable frequency (mixing KK-99).
River?? I think I'm moving towards bottom of my range, however any Ace is decent bluffcatcher.

12 Comments

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Mancuso 6 years, 3 months ago

How do you see his range?
How his range interacts with the board?
Does he have A7s, 97s, 87s, 76s, 75s, 77? I can't see other value combos in his line.
If BB is weaker, he has kind of a incentive to play a wider call3b range, then.
Also, he is XRaising when you decided to Cbet in a 3-way pot, a Cbet in a 3-way pot is perceived as a strong Cbet (even for small sizings).
Another thing is A77r flop. Which bluffing combos he could be using here? The board is really dry.
If he won't reach river with many bluffs, does he valuebet worse?

I know that if we fold top pair, we will be folding a big part of our range and this could lead to a overfold, but if villain has way more value combos and doesn't reach with enough bluffs and/or valuebet worse combos, we shall fold more than 1-alpha.

Jeff_ 6 years, 3 months ago

I see his range quite wide: around 10% ~ AQo+, SC+(low with mix freq), JTs+, all pp with some freq. And it is pretty clear that I crush him on this board, because I would 3 bet same amount and he will flat more than normal (reason is weak player).

Does he have A7s, 97s, 87s, 76s, 75s, 77? I can't see other value
combos in his line.

for sure has it, probably not 100% because he still playing OOP vs strong range. And as for bluffs I can imagine 89, and 88/66 being best ones (I would be using those).

I know that if we fold top pair, we will be folding a big part of our
range and this could lead to a overfold, but if villain has way more
value combos and doesn't reach with enough bluffs and/or valuebet
worse combos, we shall fold more than 1-alpha.

Being on the river I wont have stuff like A2-A5s, or A8-ATs that often because not 3betting all of this always pre and cbetting. So it leaves me with AQ, AK, 7x and some wheel Aces I decided to cbet.

Mancuso 6 years, 3 months ago

Can't see people bluffing enough on these boards, especially multi-way.
I can be tottaly wrong, for real.
Turn is critical, I'm thinking if he would've shove some 7x, as well.
Why would someone use a small size again ott?

Jeff_ 6 years, 3 months ago

his turn sizing is good, putting pressure on my low Aces and KK-TT type of hands and it is generally good approach in 3b pots.
Shoving make me play easy poker, fold everything except AK if he isn't bluffing enough, if he is bluffing a lot (which is not happening) call wider.

Krzysztof Slaski 6 years, 3 months ago

Hey Jeff_ ,

Pretty gross spot. Preflop, flop and turn obviously good and not worth talking about. If BB is a weaker player I could see larger sizing being a better option for the flop.

I agree that this is not a spot we should expect to see a lot of bluffs from the average regular, since there aren't really any natural, no-brainer bluffs here. So even though he uses such small sizings, and his bluffs would be incredibly cheap, I'm just going to fold this and call my AK+ until he gives me enough reason to think he will bluff these spots. We shouldn't be getting to the river with any hands < Ax, so I don't think this fold will be much of a mistake from an MDF standpoint, and it could be disastrous if he grossly underbluffs this spot(which I think will be quite common)

Cheers.

SeniorPomidor 6 years, 2 months ago

Jeff, can you say, for exaple if you play vs fish, would you bet bigger on the flop? Because i think you bet small here also because you want bluff chepere with your range here and villain is a reg.

Jeff_ 6 years, 2 months ago

depends on a player. Probably vs anyone I would bet small here. But definitely will agree that isn't optimal strategy vs everyone you see on your poker table

FlaXmarZ 6 years, 2 months ago

SeniorPomidor , we have the stronger range as Jeff_ says. But another very important reason why we want to bet small is because the of board. Even tho we dont want to bet entire range in this spot, we still want to use small size and Will put alof of pressure and have cheaper bluffs.

FlaXmarZ 6 years, 2 months ago

As Krzysztof Slaski says, i agree this spot is likely very underbluffed because how the board lacks any kind of natural bluffs. He basically need to xr and barrel off some 55,66,88,89s wich i dont se happening at 200z. It’s very likely a 7x that just want to make sure he stacks all good Ax.

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