Nl200 zoom river line

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Nl200 zoom river line

Hi,

Shotting nl200, no history w. villain. My thoughts: Flop & turn clear calls. River, My range: JJ+ & missed draws, A3ss, 66. Villains range: few combos 45ss, 63ss, 66, missed draws mainly and probably all 3x. I would probably not bet anything w. JJ+ on the river it imo makes it just a guessing game (how much he playes draws this way, does he ever go CR bluff them on the river), but does villain X/shove the river w. all worse 3x vs. this sizing and is my sizing OK? If he shoves here all worse 3x for value we are doing very well but if he doesnt and if he doesn't ship those missed draws we are doing bad. What u guys think?

File: HH20150712 Aenna #5 - $1-$2 - USD No Limit Hold'em.txt
PokerStars Zoom Hand #137963708092: Hold'em No Limit ($1/$2) - 2015/07/13 1:00:43 CUST [2015/07/12 19:00:43 ET]
Table 'Aenna' 6-max Seat #1 is the button
Seat 1: Morgauth ($267.31 in chips)
Seat 2: sza21642 ($106.05 in chips)
Seat 3: epiLewg ($252.92 in chips)
Seat 4: kiljusieppo ($228.05 in chips)
Seat 5: rrricardo1 ($187.37 in chips)
Seat 6: RPZ82 ($259.18 in chips)
sza21642: posts small blind $1
epiLewg: posts big blind $2
* HOLE CARDS
Dealt to kiljusieppo [3h Ah]
kiljusieppo: raises $2.54 to $4.54
rrricardo1: calls $4.54
RPZ82: folds
Morgauth: folds
sza21642: folds
epiLewg: calls $2.54
FLOP [3d 3c 6c]
epiLewg: bets $9
kiljusieppo: calls $9
rrricardo1: folds
TURN [3d 3c 6c] [7d]
epiLewg: bets $19
kiljusieppo: calls $19
RIVER [3d 3c 6c 7d] [4s]
epiLewg: checks
kiljusieppo: bets $30
epiLewg: raises $190.38 to $220.38 and is all-in
kiljusieppo: calls $165.51 and is all-in
Uncalled bet ($24.87) returned to epiLewg
SHOW DOWN
epiLewg: shows [6s 3s] (a full house, Threes full of Sixes)
kiljusieppo: shows [3h Ah] (three of a kind, Threes)
epiLewg collected $458.84 from pot
SUMMARY *
Total pot $461.64 | Rake $2.80
Board [3d 3c 6c 7d 4s]
Seat 1: Morgauth (button) folded before Flop (didn't bet)
Seat 2: sza21642 (small blind) folded before Flop
Seat 3: epiLewg (big blind) showed [6s 3s] and won ($458.84) with a full house, Threes full of Sixes
Seat 4: kiljusieppo showed [3h Ah] and lost with three of a kind, Threes
Seat 5: rrricardo1 folded on the Flop
Seat 6: RPZ82 folded before Flop (didn't bet)

5 Comments

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bdon22 9 years, 8 months ago

The flop donk into 2 other players is concerning, and continuing with the turn lead that's very strong imo. Hard to see someone doing this with just a naked club draw. Even if he is bluffing with 54s/54o he gets there OTT. Lots of trashy suited hands could be in his range given the multi-way action and your small PFR. And I don't think he check jams with naked trips - more likely C/C since we still have boats/straights in our range too.

From a GTO perspective villain is risking $165 to win $100 so we need to defend 38% of our range OTR. But I feel in this spot we might not need GTO and can make an exploitative fold?

Curious to hear what others think.

Also lack of HH converter use might cut down on your replies.

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