NL200 zoom, 99 on T95m-7-8, OOP river decision.
Posted by Ryan Wu
Posted by Ryan Wu posted in Mid Stakes
NL200 zoom, 99 on T95m-7-8, OOP river decision.
BN: $362.41
SB: $331.02
BB: $226.81
UTG: $300.08 (Hero)
HJ: $302.68
CO: $207.29
SB: $331.02
BB: $226.81
UTG: $300.08 (Hero)
HJ: $302.68
CO: $207.29
Preflop
($3.00)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
9
9
Hero raises to $6, HJ calls $6, CO folds, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds
Hero raises to $6, HJ calls $6, CO folds, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds
Flop
($15.00)
T
9
5
(2 Players)
Hero bets $11,
HJ calls $11
Turn
($37.00)
T
9
5
7
(2 Players)
Hero bets $28,
HJ calls $28
River
($93.00)
T
9
5
7
8
(2 Players)
Villain’s calling range on the turn
AKss 1
AQss 1
AJss 1
KQss 1
KJss 1
QJss 1 … 6 flush (16.7%)
QJs 3
JTs 3
JJ 6 … 12 str8 (33.3%)
TT 3
99 3 … 6 set (16.7%)
QQ 6 … 6 overpair (16.7%)
AsK 3
AsQ 3 … 6 miss FD (16.7%)
------------------------------
36 combos
If hero holds AsKx
villains range
flush 3 (11.1%)
str8 12 (44.4%)
set 6 (22.2%)
op 6 (22.2%)
Looks like its easy to defend enough combos for villain and hero’s value range should be QJ+.
If hero holds AxKs
villains range
flush 3 (9.1%)
str8 12 (36.4%)
set 6 (18.2%)
op 6 (18.2%)
miss fd 6 (18.2%)
Hero still cant vb with Jx, but AxKs could be a profitable bluff.
If hero holds 99
Most of hero's Jx should be a check on the river, so we dont need to defend 99 here.
=> 99 should be a check-fold on the river.
Any opinion is appreciate.
Loading 1 Comments...
Be the first to add a comment
You must upgrade your account to leave a comment.
This thread has been locked. No further comments can be added.