NL200 zoom, 99 on T95m-7-8, OOP river decision.
Posted by Ryan Wu
Posted by
Ryan Wu
posted in
Mid Stakes
NL200 zoom, 99 on T95m-7-8, OOP river decision.
BN: $362.41
SB: $331.02
BB: $226.81
UTG: $300.08 (Hero)
HJ: $302.68
CO: $207.29
SB: $331.02
BB: $226.81
UTG: $300.08 (Hero)
HJ: $302.68
CO: $207.29
Preflop
($3.00)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
9
9
Hero raises to $6, HJ calls $6, CO folds, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds
Hero raises to $6, HJ calls $6, CO folds, BN folds, SB folds, BB folds
Flop
($15.00)
T
9
5
(2 Players)
Hero bets $11,
HJ calls $11
Turn
($37.00)
T
9
5
7
(2 Players)
Hero bets $28,
HJ calls $28
River
($93.00)
T
9
5
7
8
(2 Players)
Villain’s calling range on the turn
AKss 1
AQss 1
AJss 1
KQss 1
KJss 1
QJss 1 … 6 flush (16.7%)
QJs 3
JTs 3
JJ 6 … 12 str8 (33.3%)
TT 3
99 3 … 6 set (16.7%)
QQ 6 … 6 overpair (16.7%)
AsK 3
AsQ 3 … 6 miss FD (16.7%)
------------------------------
36 combos
If hero holds AsKx
villains range
flush 3 (11.1%)
str8 12 (44.4%)
set 6 (22.2%)
op 6 (22.2%)
Looks like its easy to defend enough combos for villain and hero’s value range should be QJ+.
If hero holds AxKs
villains range
flush 3 (9.1%)
str8 12 (36.4%)
set 6 (18.2%)
op 6 (18.2%)
miss fd 6 (18.2%)
Hero still cant vb with Jx, but AxKs could be a profitable bluff.
If hero holds 99
Most of hero's Jx should be a check on the river, so we dont need to defend 99 here.
=> 99 should be a check-fold on the river.
Any opinion is appreciate.
Loading 1 Comments...
You obviously start off by checking, as he has no two pair combos that cold call the HJ vs UTG, and call 3 streets.
He also should have very few offsuit combos here. Only AKo and maybe not even AQo. This means he has few missed FDs (re raises the flop with many).
So check the river, and except be good almost always when he checks back.
He does not cold call any SCs in the HJ here, and even the ones that somehow do are not going to call multiple streets, or be turned into a bluff.
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