NL200 Top 2 vs. overbet jam
Posted by bdon22
Posted by
bdon22
posted in
Mid Stakes
NL200 Top 2 vs. overbet jam
BN: $227.29
SB: $203
BB: $290.24
UTG: $389.52
HJ: $288.19
CO: $315.42 (Hero)
SB: $203
BB: $290.24
UTG: $389.52
HJ: $288.19
CO: $315.42 (Hero)
Villain is a reg. Hasn't shown anything crazy to me yet.
Preflop
($3.00)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
K
A
UTG folds, HJ folds, Hero raises to $6, BN folds, SB folds, BB calls $4
UTG folds, HJ folds, Hero raises to $6, BN folds, SB folds, BB calls $4
Flop
($13.00)
A
J
8
(2 Players)
BB checks,
Hero bets $9,
BB calls $9
Turn
($31.00)
A
J
8
K
(2 Players)
BB checks,
Hero bets $22,
BB raises to $66.16,
Hero calls $44.16
I think he can be doing this with a lot of combo draws seeing as how I don't block any clubs.
My range must look quite strong when I flat here.
My range must look quite strong when I flat here.
River
($163.32)
A
J
8
K
6
(2 Players)
BB bets $209.08, and is all in
He still decides to jam on a board that favours my range. It's an overbet jam and we are 145BB deep effectively.
I still have every set combo in my range here which I am not folding. AK seems kinda close?
I still have every set combo in my range here which I am not folding. AK seems kinda close?
Loading 13 Comments...
Maybe I shoulda jammed the turn since his value range is so narrow?
I feel like you have more than enough hands (AA,JJ,88,QT) that can call the river overjam here that you can fold AK rather safely and feel unexploited in doing so.
I agree with UpUpAndAway. I have a question on betsizing on flop in this spot. Which sizing do we prefer here in theory ? Is it better to bet polarized with a ~ Potbet or bet a smaller sizing with a thiner value-range (0,6x Pot i.e.) ?
agree too. Also, he knows that the board favors your range and still jams even when the FD miss. I think Its QTs like everytime if hes not an idiot :) should we call 88, since its the only value hand he could have himself that we beat ?
well u loose vs 88 and... 88 only! i think it's a call
It's a fold - and it's likely not even close, reasons have been given.
@ilares: you missed QT.
@ilaris: i think QTo is a normal BB-defense vs 3x from CO ?
I agree with folding here, if you open around 25% in CO, I think your turn CB combo is around 100( my rough estimation). As the game theory goes, you should defend 45% on the turn and 44% on the river, which comes down to around 20 combos, so I think only hands you call here is AA,JJ,QTo,QTs. (its okay to fold 88 here unless BB is spew )
I'd fold here. I think his line should be XC/XC/XR.
Would you explain me why his line should be XC/XC/XR, if you don't mind?
A good argument for this is that BB is supposed to have a lot of bluff catchers, he should protect the weaker part of his range by calling strong hands on the flop and turn. And he's already at such a range disadvantage -> Hero is very likely to 3 barell this board
XC/XC/XR because your making your calling range too weak if you c/r turn with 88, QT for value and balance that with combo draws. He can value bet very thin on the river and bluff a lot more (to balance) as a result of your turn c/r tendency with strong hands. Also, on boards that are clearly stronger for your opponent, you should not really have a raising range. Probably wrong but think thats some of what Sauce's reasoning will be
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