NL200 Set vs. river CRAI

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Posted by posted in Mid Stakes

NL200 Set vs. river CRAI

BN: $270.49
SB: $201
BB: $200
UTG: $299.70
HJ: $94.40
CO: $321.97 (Hero)
Villain is a strong reg (supernova elite)
Preflop ($3.00) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt 8 8
UTG raises to $6, HJ folds, Hero calls $6, BN folds, SB folds, BB calls $4
Flop ($19.00) 9 8 5 (3 Players)
BB checks, UTG checks, Hero bets $12, BB calls $12, UTG folds
Turn ($43.00) 9 8 5 2 (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero bets $30, BB calls $30
River ($103.00) 9 8 5 2 Q (2 Players)
BB checks, Hero bets $50, BB raises to $152, and is all in
I feel 76 could play this way, but also 55. I also think that because of my sizing, I could have possibly induced this CRAI from 66/77. JT also got there but I feel that he might have played that a bit more aggressively along the way (eg. CR flop) so I think I have to call this off?

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