NL200: playing 2.P in 3bp on the river

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NL200: playing 2.P in 3bp on the river

Blinds: $1.00/$2.00 (6 Players) SB: $201.00 (Hero)
BB: $200.00
UTG: $242.15
MP: $488.92
CO: $207.40
BN: $218.60
Preflop ($3.00) Hero is SB with 9 Q
3 folds, BN raises to $6.00, Hero raises to $20.00, BB folds, BN calls $14.00
Flop ($42.00) 2 3 J
Hero bets $22.00, BN calls $22.00
Turn ($86.00) 2 3 J 7
Hero checks, BN checks
River ($86.00) 2 3 J 7 9
Hero checks, BN bets $44.00, Hero folds
Final Pot BN wins $83.00
Rake is $3.00

Villain plays 33/22 F2 3bet 46% over 418 hands.

No specific hands at SD, or reads on him.

I 3bet a linear range in this spot:

88+,A2s+,K9s+,Q9s+,J9s+,T8s+,98s,ATo+,KJo+

My plan on the turn was to barrel every club, and 8/T/K again. As played I went for a check/fold .

On the river I am not shure what is best here.

Can we valuebet?

If we would know that Villain is betting the turn with TP+, I think betting is best.

He could have something like that by then:

TT-88,66-44,A3s-A2s,Ad7d,9d7d

Therefore 8 combos TT/99/9d7d beat us and he can bluffcatch us with another 31 combos we beat.

Can we check/call?

I think without reads betting is better than check/calling. I do not think, that he is turning SD value into a bluff?

And I am not shure why he would checkback the turn with a FD/GS/Ahigh hand and bluff the river.

Therefore I think its a fold, when we go for the check?

What is your riverline? Do you agree with my assumtions?

6 Comments

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James Hudson 9 years, 11 months ago

It seems weird to me that you'd ask if we can value bet but then check fold to a half pot river bet. I think I'd probably shrug and call river given that we don't have a ton of hands that can bluffcatch after betting flop and checking the next two streets. Also, villain can be bluffing with AQ type hands, have checked back some flush draws on the turn or even maybe value betting a hand like 910dd. Also, them some good pot odds...

taaazz 9 years, 11 months ago

Seems close., but I expect most TP+ combos to bet the turn. I would probably bet sth like 27$ (blockbet/thin value) and hope for a hero.

As played, I don't think we can fold -we're going to have so many give ups here + Villain might XB->bet his draws occasionally or vbet worse 9x.

UpUpAndAway 9 years, 11 months ago

I much prefer a river check/call rather than a thin value bet. I doubt you have many bluffs that take a bet-check-bet line on this board so I think it's best to protect our river checking range which is tough to have a high frequency of as it is.

jonzocker 9 years, 11 months ago

I think I'd probably shrug and call river given that we don't have a ton of hands that can bluffcatch after betting flop and checking the next two streets.

I doubt you have many bluffs that take a bet-check-bet line on this board so I think it's best to protect our river checking range which is tough to have a high frequency of as it is.

I agree with those arguments, thx a lot for helping me!

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