NL200 FR: linecheck

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NL200 FR: linecheck

LJ: 201.83
HJ: 233.88
CO: 158.10
BN: 290.95
SB: 238.02
BB: 305.69 (Hero)
UTG: 270.06
UTG1: 63.18
Preflop (3) (8 Players)
Hero was dealt Q Q
UTG folds, UTG1 folds, LJ folds, HJ folds, CO folds, BN raises to 4, SB folds, Hero raises to 16, BN calls 12
3k hands
67% BU open, fold to 3bet 55, 4bet 6, W$WSF: 49
fold to cbet 3bet pot: Flop 53 (15) Turn 0 (4) River -
bet IP vs missed cbet 3bet pot: Flop 75 (4) Turn 100 (6) River 67 (3)



Flop (35) 9 6 6 (2 Players)
Hero bets 20, BN calls 20
flop larger i guess, sth like 25
Turn (75) 9 6 6 3 (2 Players)
Hero bets 50, BN calls 50
River (175) 9 6 6 3 J (2 Players)
Hero checks, BN bets 204.95, and is all in, Hero calls 204.95

i dont see big merits in betting the river by myself. considering his stats, what do you think?

3 Comments

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erdian 11 years, 1 month ago

His range consists off 99 6x and bd flush draws Like AT,AQ and Possibly AK,JJ aswell if he does not like to 4-bet them. Rest is bluffs/Missed draws he is pretty polarized. I think its a weird spot not to raise 6x or mb a full house on the turn since you can have one off the flushdraws and you bet both streets and that indicates something(unless you are doing this often as a bluff). I agree with your call since his range is polarized here. 

Also is he a kind of player that just flats raises with KK,AA pre because if he is you have to consider that as his mid-range of that shove. If he is really creative he can also do that with A9 or something like AJ.

Btw what did he have? I want to know because I would also have called in your spot

BigFiszh 11 years, 1 month ago

I can´t help, but way too often I read statements like "meh, his range is polarized, I call!". A range of 9 nut-combos and one total air-combo is polarized as well, yet you only have 10% equity. How is that an argument? :)

We have to give him a real range and estimate our equity against that. We need ~36% and the very best I can come up with is 40% - against a really lose calling / bluffing-range, so I´d say a call is not "bad", but it´s by far no no-brainer, it´s pretty damn close.


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