NL200 Can we bluff this river?

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NL200 Can we bluff this river?

BN: $106.25
SB: $419.81
BB: $235.62
UTG: $78.78
HJ: $200 (Hero)
CO: $639.95
Preflop ($3.00) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt A 2
UTG raises to $6, Hero calls $6, CO folds, BN folds, SB calls $5, BB calls $4
I would normally fold A2s here but literally the entire table was fish so I decided calling would be ok. Kinda confirmed when it went 4-way to the flop.
Flop ($24.00) 4 J T (4 Players)
SB checks, BB checks, UTG checks, Hero checks
Bad board/opponents to start bluffing.
Turn ($24.00) 4 J T 8 (4 Players)
SB bets $11.46, BB calls $11.46, UTG folds, Hero calls $11.46
I don't think raising accomplishes much. They will call anyway. I'm getting great odds.
River ($58.38) 4 J T 8 4 (3 Players)
SB checks, BB checks
Can we bluff two fish here? Can I even get 2nd pair to fold? I don't block any spades. Someone might be checking a baby flush and/or scared of the board pairing and/or just doesn't know how to value bet. Same could be said about the Q9 straight and the board being flush/paired scary.

5 Comments

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DanDanDanDan 10 years, 9 months ago

Yeah your paragraph pretty much says it, I would go ahead and bluff like 76hh if you somehow had it from PF though. I also think 2014 fish are generally able to spot 'draws missed, might bluff' spots.

TurnTheNuts 10 years, 9 months ago

Question about preflop. Did you consider 3 bet bluffing preflop? I'm not saying flatting isn't +EV, just that 3betting here might be more +EV depending on utg raiser, instead of taking a multiway flop oop.

Rest of hand played out pretty standard, and no I don't think I would be bluffing here ever vs 2 perceived fish, especially with sdv, even if it's just a little. For basically all the reasons you mentioned above.

bdon22 10 years, 9 months ago

Nah I didn't want to isolate myself against UTG's strong range and shut out all the fish behind me. call>fold>3-bet imo

MrSneeze 10 years, 9 months ago

If you want bad opponent to fold marginal hands, try betting twice the pot. Not saying that's the greatest spot for it, but indeed betting 2/3 por will not work here, ever.

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