nl200 4straight on the river
Posted by Jeff_
Posted by
Jeff_
posted in
Mid Stakes
nl200 4straight on the river
villain rec, actually I didnt check his postflop stat (so i leave them out), he almost never folds vs 3bet(5% over 1k hands( and 31/15 with tiny 3bet
On the river I quickly noticed he got around ~20-25 combo of Khighs so he need over 12 bluffs. Honeslty to me seems like can be massively overbluffed(if start to turn Ax into a bluff) or massively underbluffed. Best combos to call which are not blocking his bluffs. But he can be bluffing JT/QJ or even Ax. Hard to tell
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Fold. This line, this sizing, and this runout is underbluffed.
You have AK with 100% frequency in your range and he probably knows that so why would he bluff? It's pretty hard for him to even have bluffs. (Txss, 7xss, worse 2p?)
I would say this is almost certainly underbluffed. I would fold and pretty much only defend Kx vs a recreational taking this line.
I also do not like this combo as a 3b CO vs UTG. Guess maybe okay at a low frequency. I don't use a randomizer so I just wouldn't include this in my strategy, but not convinced one way or the other about this one. Maybe a bit better against a recreational if he is going to respond poorly vs a 3b, but I personally would be careful with this and overdoing it.
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