NL20 - Turn spot vs reg 3BP

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NL20 - Turn spot vs reg 3BP

Blinds: $0.10/$0.20 (5 Players) BN: $26.36
SB: $20.30
BB: $23.43
UTG: $20.00
CO: $21.24 (Hero)
Hi,

Vilain is a reg pretty aggressive, he runs 24/20, 8% 3bet SB vs CO, Cbet in 3BP 92% (80% (5) OOP), Turn Cbet OOP 75% (4) in 3BP, 100% (2) River Cbet 3BP OOP. WWSF 56%, SD 20%. 1.1K sample
Preflop ($0.30) Hero is CO with Q A
Hero raises to $0.60, BN folds, SB raises to $2.00, BB folds, Hero calls $1.40
Flop ($4.20) 5 3 4
SB bets $2.00, Hero calls $2.00
Turn ($8.20) 5 3 4 2
SB bets $4.40, Hero
He snap bet the turn. Looks like a bad card to barrel bluff but he is so barrel happy. I don't know if he is snap betting 55% pot w/ the As or 6s here...

Are you calling the turn bet and what's your plan OTR?

Ty

5 Comments

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Bronson 10 years ago

I don't really expect him to snap bet as a bluff on this turn card and i also don't expect him to bet weaker hands for value.

AK-ATss (3 combos, you block Q), AK with a "s" (4combos), 67ss (1 combo), AsQ (3 combos), AsJ (4 combos), maybe KJss KTss (2 combos), so around 17 flushes that beat you.

It's frustrating that his stats say he's a betting monkey in 3b-pots, but i'd probably fold this on the turn. Also sample is too small to base our play on them.

LikeItGreen 10 years ago

Despite his stats i think you are better of folding on the turn he has a lot of flushes on his 3beting range from the SB that beat you.

klamsauce 10 years ago

I think against a barrel monkey (56%wwsf is ridiculous) I like calling the turn and folding the river. I think in a spot like this a highly aggro player may bet the turn too much thinking if we don't have a spade we can't call. Basically hands like 99 w no spade and stuff he's trying to fold us off. I think we give him too much credit to just fold the turn outright w a flush also a straight flush may take 2 seconds before betting (like ohh a straight flush!, and then bet)

ILoseFlips 10 years ago

It was my thinking process in game as I don't expect him to bluff the river too much when I call OTT

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