NL2 zoom / 3BP A5s / rate my line

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NL2 zoom / 3BP A5s / rate my line

Blinds: $0.01/$0.02 (6 Players) BN: $0.83
SB: $2.42
BB: $2.12
UTG: $2.51
MP: $2.08
CO: $5.60 (Hero)
No read, only 5 hand on MP
Preflop ($0.03) Hero is CO with A 5
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.05, Hero raises to $0.18, 3 folds, MP calls $0.13
Flop ($0.39) 6 6 5
MP checks, Hero bets $0.13, MP calls $0.13
Turn ($0.65) 6 6 5 9
MP checks, Hero bets $0.40, MP calls $0.40
River ($1.45) 6 6 5 9 T
MP checks, Hero bets $1.78, MP calls $1.37 and is all in

Actually i'm not comfortable in 3 bet pots, so what do you think about this line?

5 Comments

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foShizzle 6 years, 1 month ago

Hello,

  • hand selection is a personal matter. If you are using polarized 3bet, then it's ok
  • I don't like your sizing preflop. I prefer to 3bet 3x open raise when I am in position. $0,15 would be my sizing.
  • on the flop, you have a bottom pair. Board is very good for you because there are no overcards. The problem is that by betting here you turn your hand into a bluff. I don't see any better hand that can fold here, especially against your sizing. MP can easily call here all overpairs (QQ,JJ,TT, maybe 99 and occasionally 88) and maybe AK. I don't assume that unk could call here AQ/KQ and hands like JTs if he is flatting them preflop
  • you shouldn't be afraid about giving an opponent a free card. Ace would be great - you could get 3 streets of value against AK and worse Ax if MP is calling them on the flop. King would be a little bit scary, but Q and J are mediocre at best. The rest is good for you.
  • I would prefer to check back here. You don't have 3 streets of value and you can easily bet on a later street. My plan would be to call any bet on a turn (because my population read on NL2 was that people love to bet vs missed cbet in this spots) but on the river, you should play it carefully, because not so many people like to barrel 2 streets.
  • after MP calls you are probably behind and you should check back on the turn
  • you have absolutely no fold equity on the turn. Maybe AK would fold, if MP called it on the flop. The rest of the MP range is crushing you. You have a nut flush draw and you should get a free card now.
  • against a range QQ-99,AKs,AKo you have a 47,73% equity. AK is folding here because you have blockers to the flush draw
  • against a range QQ-99 you have only 25,32% and these hands won't fold here
  • on the river, you get your out. Now the problem is that the board is paired. You should assume that MP has here QQ or JJ (you are beating them), TT or 99 (they are beating you)
  • MP could have 6 combos of QQ, 6 combos of JJ, 3 combos of TT and 3 combos of 99.
  • if we look at the equity, you have a 66% against that range, but:
  • now the question is how MP could respond against your shove.
  • He will certainly call with TT and 99.
  • in my opinion, it's safe to assume that he will fold JJ against your jam. What is more, in my opinion, he won't call QQ here with 100% frequency. It means that there are more combos that beat you, which equals that you have no value here and you should check back or choose smaller sizing

I hope this answer helps you.

HawksWin 6 years, 1 month ago

Flop can be a bet or a check I think. I expect him to continue with a bunch of his range on this flop. Ah BDFD's, KQs BDFD, AQo, 98s, 87s and the nutted combos. You get some protection and the size is probably fine.

Turn is interesting. What is your plan if you get raised? I think if you choose to bet this combo you should size it down. I think checking is good sometimes too. Paired boards always change this dynamic. I don't expect his range to react much differently vs. a $.20 or $.25 bet here and it gives you more flexibility (higher SPR) on rivers so is a smaller bet better?

River is probably close. KcQc, KcJc, QcJc probably gets to this river and always call. Does he call JcJx due to blocker? Does he have 76 in his range here? He does have a couple of straights also, which caught on the turn. Against a calling range of trips+ you are 65/35 dog so you would need him to fold like 50% of the time. I can't imagine he is going to fold river this often but maybe he does. It would be a slightly losing call vs. that range. If you include just one over pair like JcJx and/or QcQx, then shoving river will definitely be +EV.

belrio42 6 years, 1 month ago

I would prefer to check turn. When you have a pair and a flush draw, the pair is usually the important part. You already got protection on the flop, so betting doesn't accomplish much. You have showdown value, and he could have been floating the flop with all sorts of stuff, because the flop was paired. You can easily call a reasonable river bet on most rivers if you keep his range wide on the turn.

akissv7 6 years, 1 month ago

Preflop
Bet sizing is ok against a 2.5 BB raiser.
Flop
Good cBet 1/3 pot means a lot of hands can continue and you have a pair and a backdoor flush draw. Would normally though bet a bit larger on flop as people tend to call to much.
Turn
Given the sizing on the flop the villain can still be wide e.g. AK and any pair. You got more equity with your flush draw and another barrel is ok you are aiming to drive the smaller pairs out but will also drive AK-AQ out which should call on the flop sizing.
River
Although 9's and T's got there value betting your flush is the right think to do.

Aubady 6 years, 1 month ago

Thank you for your analyses. It seems that my line is not so bad but i'm far from the thinking process of @foShizzle. So I have to improve it, especially think about entire range of opponent, if I've fold equity or not, and pot odds.

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