NL2- Facing a raise on the turn with TPTK
Posted by GeoPur
Posted by
GeoPur
posted in
Low Stakes
NL2- Facing a raise on the turn with TPTK
Blinds: $0.01/$0.02 (8 Players)
UTG: $1.08
MP: $2.00 (Hero)
UTG+1: $2.22
MP+1: $0.47
CO: $2.16
BN: $1.98
SB: $0.55
BB: $1.31
MP: $2.00 (Hero)
UTG+1: $2.22
MP+1: $0.47
CO: $2.16
BN: $1.98
SB: $0.55
BB: $1.31
Preflop
($0.03)
Hero is MP with
A
K
, , , , ,
BB has overall vpip/pfr of 32/9 at 47 hands. BTN seems like a tag in about 50 hands I have for him. Stats are for 9max.
Flop
($0.19)
Q
7
3
, , ,
Turn
($0.41)
Q
7
3
K
, ,
I think its not very likely for him to show up with KK, QQ here since he 3bets those pre. I think he has 77(3c),33(3c) KQ(6c). Now he may have AK, JT. But does he really have those here? I thought possibly no, and so I made the fold. What do you think?
Final Pot
BN wins $0.97
Rake is $0.04
Rake is $0.04
Loading 2 Comments...
He can have AK not many probably but he could have AhKh and he can have all JTs. You block the A of spades otherwise he could have AsQs or AsJs, and as you indicated he can have all KQ and 77 and 33 and he could be on a complete bluff here.
The raise is smallish but it makes that if you call the pot will be ~1.60 and he will have 1.21 left. So he could be setting up for a shove or just take a stab with a straight draw.
Think all in all it is a close spot and a tight fold I would probably call turn (30 more for a 1.60 pot) as it is close to the top of my range on this board.
Would villain bet sets and top two here and possibly move both you and the BB out of the pot?
Yeah I wouldnt be comfortable continuing here. Flop is really dry. Folding turn must be quite reasonable.
FWIW, I'd use 1/3 on flop, as I will with QQ, maybe KK, KQ, QJ (depends on your range from UTG), some suited connectors with multiple backdoor possibility. And I'd 3/4 pot with AA, KK (depend on 3bet stats,if it's low,vil might not 3B KQs) and 77.
As played, I'd 1/3 flop, check turn (as I need a defense range when I 1/3 flop and x/f turn). We really want a showdown here. I dont see why we necessarily need to bloat the pot OOP with one pair and little to none redraw.
But that just me tho, really interested in what others say in this spot.
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