NL2 99 in the SB, MW, TP on the flp
Posted by JonathanPla
Posted by
JonathanPla
posted in
Low Stakes
NL2 99 in the SB, MW, TP on the flp
Blinds: $0.01/$0.02 (5 Players)
UTG: $2.60
CO: $2.01
BN: $0.95
SB: $1.96 (Hero)
BB: $3.40
CO: $2.01
BN: $0.95
SB: $1.96 (Hero)
BB: $3.40
Preflop
($0.03)
Hero is SB with
9
9
, , , ,
I think it's ok to call mw here, but is it just better to 3bet instead?
Flop
($0.20)
6
2
7
, , , ,
I was going to call or even raise a smaller bet, but I think maybe BN was trapping with a strong OP pre and is betting big for protection
Final Pot
BN wins $0.19
Rake is $0.01
Rake is $0.01
Loading 8 Comments...
You can 3b pre but the call is fine also imo.
As for flop i am not folding here at all ever. BTN can bet all his draws and any 6 or 7. You are beating alot of his range on the btn. c/c is fine and lets see the turn. On the turn i highly doubt i fold to any card but you could consider folding to A,K,Q,J,T,5 but i wouldnt.
if he bets the 3rd time on the river then folding is generally fine pending one of those cards came on the turn.
I think the call is fine. For squeezing OOP I would rather choose hands that have good blockers, and MP play fine postflop MW in my opinion.
On the flop, the fold is pretty tight and I would definitely put in a call in here. I would assume CO has a mostly capped range, so that's good for you. The float bet could mean a lot of things. I would assume that BU is a fishy player (considering his stack size)? Do you have any read on him? If he's more of the passive type and shoves on the turn, I think I might find a fold there.
Yeah I'm calling for sure, BTN can easily have hands like 88 or 7x as well as bluffs. Given his short stack I would actually raise to 0,40 and get it in againts him very happily and probably fold if CO comes along.
I'm probably squeezing pre JonathanPla , here's my rationale - if CO is opening 35%ish, 99 has 61% equity vs CO's opening range, also in my strategy I like to diminish stack-to-pot ratio whenever possible OOP. Something like A7s or 55 makes a better call IMO.
As played I'm calling flop unless HUD stats tell me Villain rarely c-bets 3-ways without a strong hand.
But what your equity against his continuing range? That's the real question.
And we aren't take into account the fact that if villain calls we'll be OOP OTF and that we don't realize our equity 100% of the times
At these stakes I think calling and capitalize on the #1 leak in these population (calling too much) is the way to go
Squeeze is definitely good but not necessarily inherently better than calling. That said given that the BTN is probably a fish squeezing becomes more attractive.
forCarlotta good question, if we assume a continuing range of: JJ-33,AQo,AJo,KQo,AQs-A2s,KTs+,QJs-54s,QTs,J9s,97s,86s we can see the equities of each hand in Villain's range vs 99 (also note 99 has 63% equity vs the entire continuing range):
cruX
Plz note that the continuing range include also include all the hands he would 4bet with.
What you have designed is only hid calling range where, obv you have also better equity, because you left out the premium hands.
Equity isn't the only thing that matters, since we don't know whether we are going to realize it or not.
EV only matters, and I think at these stakes, when a player is learning the game is better to simplify things. A call here, in this pool will show a profit no matter what, and this let OP to focus on other things to learn imo
Be the first to add a comment