NL16z JJ SB cold call BTN squeeze
Posted by zereketh
Posted by zereketh posted in Low Stakes
NL16z JJ SB cold call BTN squeeze
Blinds: $0.08/$0.16 (6 Players)
BN: Istkam: $18.20
SB: whersurbuyin: $25.35 (Hero)
BB: De Woman: $16.00
UTG: FishingCh621: $43.17
MP: pokgve: $15.76
CO: Venomhun: $38.16
SB: whersurbuyin: $25.35 (Hero)
BB: De Woman: $16.00
UTG: FishingCh621: $43.17
MP: pokgve: $15.76
CO: Venomhun: $38.16
Villain is 19/16 w/ a 22 (9 sample size) squeeze over 240 hands.
Preflop
($0.24)
whersurbuyin is SB with
J
J
, , , , , , ,
Don't see a reason to do anything else than call here.
Flop
($4.96)
6
2
T
,
We could lead here considering he might have some T's with that squeeze percentage, plus getting folds from overs here isn't that bad. Think X/C is fine too. (Want some opinions on this with reasoning if you can)
Turn
($4.96)
6
2
T
K
, ,
I can see him betting a lot of AQ,AJ hands here plus AdX and of course most his kings and some flushes that he didn't bet the flop but that's very rare as they don't x behind FD's enough at this limit.
River
($10.24)
6
2
T
K
T
, ,
Note: The effective raise size is 2.5 as he has 9.7$ behind. I think X/C is better here as we still beat all his draws. I decided to X/R as I think I rep a super strong range as most people don't turn made hands into bluffs or have a super aggressive dynamic in these spots and I expect him to even lay down some kings here. I'm only really repping AQdd AJdd TT ATs and that's around 6 combos plus some AA,KK here sometimes albeit more rarely but as I said I don't see myself showing up here with a bluff very often.
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