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NL16z 78s

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NL16z 78s

Blinds: $0.08/$0.16 (6 Players) BN: $20.28 (Hero)
SB: $19.09
BB: $19.17
UTG: $30.40
MP: $22.00
CO: $44.66
Preflop ($0.24) Hero is BN with 7 8
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.40, SB raises to $1.60, BB folds, Hero calls $1.20
Flop ($3.36) 8 A T
SB bets $1.06, Hero calls $1.06
Turn ($5.48) 8 A T K
SB bets $3.92, Hero calls $3.92
River ($13.32) 8 A T K 8
SB bets $12.51 and is all in, Hero folds
Final Pot SB wins $12.72
Rake is $0.60

given that the SB 3b is 4 after 350 hands i do believe fold is the best option even though i get trips OTR.
what r ur thoughts?

3 Comments

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maco 4 years, 1 month ago

Fold preflop if you have the read that villan has a tight 3bet range. As played I m never folding river given the fact that we beat some of his value range.

Jbarez 4 years, 1 month ago

Worst case scenario
He has:
3 x AA
3 x KK
3 x TT
4 x QJs
1 x A8s
Which gives 11 combinations of value better than your trips. You need to be ~33% good on river so we need to find 6 combinations of bluffs/worse hands. He has at least 9 combinations of AK so you have required equity even in worst case scenario when he valuebets AK+ and never bluffs.

HawksWin 4 years, 1 month ago

Preflop vs this type, I think PP's are better call than connectors here. If that 3b stat is aggregate, he is 3b at least 1/2 as often as optimal, if it is SB specific, he is 3b entirely too tightly. PP will perform better in long run vs this type.

Flop, easy continue vs that size

I am not in love with our implied odds for that turn sizing. Turn I think is a tight fold. He has 1P behind and the price is really pretty bad for the relative strength of our hand.

As played, river is obvious call I think.

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