NL16 AKo

Posted by screamdustry

Posted by screamdustry posted in Low Stakes

Posted 9 years, 10 months ago

NL16 AKo

Blinds: $0.08/$0.16 (5 Players) UTG: $16.00 (Hero)
CO: $16.14
BN: $16.00
SB: $12.84
BB: $17.34

Preflop ($0.24) Hero is UTG with K A

Hero raises to $0.48, CO folds, BN calls $0.48, SB calls $0.40, BB raises to $2.40, Hero raises to $5.44, BN folds, SB folds, BB calls $3.04

BB is 34/29 18% 3bet after 306 hands, AFq 39%, W$SD 40, WTSD 20,
SB is table fish 59/5

Sometimes i like to just ship it preflop, but i think vs. these player my 4b may induce some stupid calls/shoves.

Flop ($11.84) 5 8 9

BB checks, Hero checks

Turn ($11.84) 5 8 9 6

BB checks, Hero checks

River ($11.84) 5 8 9 6 4

BB bets $6.08, Hero calls $6.08

What the hell?

Ok, if im not cbetting i look like AK. If he think that way he may bet on river with TT-JJ, but he choose solid sizing... I dont know what to do here, he looks like really overaggro player so i thought my AK is good enough.

5 Comments

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Disharmonist 9 years, 10 months ago

I think it is a fine play. I put villain on AK or AQ here because i believe aggro players bet their overpairs OTF or OTT.

LuckyMer 9 years, 10 months ago

Your 4-bet is too big to induce stupid ships, when you put in 1/3 of your stack with 4-bet, there is no folding equity in my eyes.

On the flop you have 10.5 left and pot is 11.5, your equity vs TT-QQ = 25%, lets say villain folds at least 30% to your jam:
EV jam = 30% * 5.75 + 70% * (25% * (10.5 * 2 + 11.5) - ) = 30% * 5.75 + 70% * (8.1 - 16) = -3.8 but EV of checking and folding to a bet = -5.44. So jam is better. And easier I guess. And sometimes you will get a call from JTs, QJs.

As played I'd call river too expecting to see there KQ, KJ, AJ, AT.