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NL10z versus AGROMONKEY

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NL10z versus AGROMONKEY

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players) BN: $23.77 (Hero)
SB: $12.47
BB: $25.16
UTG: $17.98
MP: $21.21
CO: $8.77
Preflop ($0.15) Hero is BN with A T
3 folds, Hero raises to $0.22, SB folds, BB raises to $0.90, Hero calls $0.68
Flop ($1.85) 5 2 4
BB bets $1.25, Hero calls $1.25
Turn ($4.35) 5 2 4 J
BB bets $3.45, Hero raises to $7.20, BB calls $3.75
River ($18.75) 5 2 4 J 5
BB checks, Hero bets $8.20, BB raises to $15.81 and is all in, Hero calls $6.22 and is all in

after 58 hands this guy 3bets 29 TOT, vs hero 50(6).
history with him he squeezed BB with TT and then 5bet push after 4bet
plan was to let him bluff until I hit flush, then small raise IP and push OTR
but board paired and 4rd heart is on the deck. I decided to VB vs big hearts, coz I showed strength small minraising OTT.
Which option is better VB not allin river AP or just push and hope for call. Or other lines how to play this hand postflop. thanks

6 Comments

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WM2K 8 years, 3 months ago

The only thing I think I d suggest is raising turn bigger. Do the math but I m pretty sure you can size it so its ~PSB OTR no? Thats what we should aim for. As played kinda gross but pretty sure I ve seen bad players overplay Kh often enough to justify these odds.

TheAstiAsti 8 years, 3 months ago

River ($18.75)
hero left 15.81$ ? its PSB OTR
want him to continue with all his weak hands and draws. If I raise 3x OTT or push he would fold almost all. he bets 3.45 and pot is already (3.45+4.35= ~8$) If I raise here 3.45 to 10 it's big decision for him to be pot commited or let it go.he dont want to continue with air coz we are deep versus big sizing?
by small raising I can present naked Ah or idk what is his monkey mind process :D

WM2K 8 years, 3 months ago

Ah ya ok your right. Id still raise bigger OTT as he s still going to feel priced in and its even better if its 1/2 pot bet or less OTR. Obv this isnt a balanced strat and wouldnt be surprised that your sizing could be best if we actually are bluffing at any real frequency. Jam the river though. He ll still call with Kh but this way we risk that he calls with Kh and raises better and our overall ev takes a hit.

TheAstiAsti 8 years, 3 months ago

I lost some value not just jamming river, but If his Th,Qh hits. Ofc he calls Kh, but what to do with Qh or Th. my jam looks very strong after 4th heart comes and board paired as well.

WM2K 8 years, 3 months ago

This is all part of the reason to pot commit him OTT with a bit larger of a bet. If its like just over half pot to call OTR probably doesnt fold Qh right?

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