NL10z river sizing 3bp after turn x through
Posted by frontdoorbackdoor
Posted by frontdoorbackdoor posted in Low Stakes
NL10z river sizing 3bp after turn x through
Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players)
BN: $13.36
SB: $18.43
BB: $11.71
UTG: $12.27
MP: $24.77 (Hero)
CO: $10.00
SB: $18.43
BB: $11.71
UTG: $12.27
MP: $24.77 (Hero)
CO: $10.00
Villain is a reg 29/23 over 400 hands. 9.4 3b (18% in CO over this sample). WTSD 29, W$SD 50, WWSF 48
Preflop
($0.15)
Hero is MP with
J
J
, , , ,
Flop
($1.87)
A
6
8
, ,
Turn
($3.37)
A
6
8
J
,
River
($3.37)
A
6
8
J
Q
,
Hi, hoping to get some opinions on the river and what sizings we should be using.
We get to this spot with some nutted hands like 88/JJ/QQ/9Ts as well as some less nutted hands like AK/AQ/AJs/ATs. Initially thought that we should be betting 2/3 pot but looking at ranges, villain is seemingly capped at Ax, maybe the occasional AQ or QQ. With this in mind, would it make sense to be overbetting river with our nuts and betting 2/3 pot with some of our other value hands? We could be turning hands like 99, TT, JTs into bluffs. Appreciate any input, thanks
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