NL10z call river vs unknown?
Posted by TheAstiAsti
Posted by
TheAstiAsti
posted in
Low Stakes
NL10z call river vs unknown?
Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players)
BN: $12.55
SB: $14.65
BB: $8.81
UTG: $16.90
MP: $15.88
CO: $12.69 (Hero)
SB: $14.65
BB: $8.81
UTG: $16.90
MP: $15.88
CO: $12.69 (Hero)
Preflop
($0.15)
Hero is CO with
Q
A
, , , ,
Flop
($0.60)
3
Q
2
, , ,
Turn
($2.78)
3
Q
2
6
,
River
($5.96)
3
Q
2
6
K
,
only straight ott - 33+22+45s = 16 combos
16 combos+ AJss-A4ss;QKss-Q7ss=30 combos (we have 54% equity and 29% needed to call R)
almost all FDs+32s+Q3s+Q2+Q6 (we have 60% equity versus this range)
so it's bad play and easy call river???
Loading 2 Comments...
He is probably going to be quite weighted towards value. He will have at least 6 set combos, sometimes he has QQ here and he will have 54. I think we can assume he raises at least some of this KQ combos on flop, I think he might raise all of his AQ due to FD. KJss can raise here along with some Axss. It's not a big raise so I expect his range to be a bit wider than if he raised bigger.
Turn call is fine. He will probably barrel big kings here for thin value along with the high equity draws and made hands.
I think he checks his AQ and KTss combos on this river and will be betting KQ+ for value and he should also have some bluffs here. A6ss, A5ss, A4ss, AJss, ATss make sense. I don't think you are going to be beating much, if any of his value range. It's close if he is betting AQ here or has more bluffs but I think you are going to have a -ev call here. A King is the worst non spade for you here. Going to be calling river here with any non K or spade.
yeah seems reasonable, but again it's NL10 with unknown opp.
what do you think his calling range here SBvCO??? if he is fish it can be up to 80% defend who knows. Reg don't have all the time small pairs here and random 45s. It can be sets, busted FDs or 2 pairs with K mb...hard to detect type of opp. I'm calling here too non K and non spade
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