NL10z Bluff in 3b Pot
Posted by downflux01
Posted by
downflux01
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Low Stakes
NL10z Bluff in 3b Pot
SB: $11.89
BB: $13.27
UTG: $10.40
MP: $23.73 (Hero)
CO: $9.85
Vil is 14/11/10 (116), 3b stat seems a bit off though
Preflop: Think its pretty close and could see folding also being an argument, since vil is probably not 3b enough.
Flop: Standard call imo
Turn: Question is what villains range is when checking here. Is he usually continuing if he has a club with his overpairs, is he barreling AK when having a club? I nodelocked that he bets all overpairs with a club, checks the rest and that he checks all his AK (even with a club). After his call, I put him on overpairs with no club and AK having clubs.
River: Given the range, I probably dont need to size it up that much. Solver says it is not that of a profitable bluff though (if he calls all overpairs, which I think he will, then its like 1-2 chips) and instead one of the better hands to be bluffing is KQs (KhQh, KsQs, KcQc) to block his calling range and fold out better SDv... and to bet all other value like sets, flushes and straights.
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I guess your play is reasonable but I'd choose overbet river all the time. The main reason for overbet would be that in IP player range all of the JJ/54s/56s/67s/9Ts/KQs. Given his check on the turn it is either nutflush with which he wants to c/c turn and c/r river or overpair. I'd would choose to always bluff that spot with Ac in that spot with overbets.
Fold pre, there is 0 offsuit hands which wants to call vs BB 3betting range (reasonable size) except AK.
With rake I'm positive that AQo is losing, vs tiny 3bet can be slighlty positive-breakeven.
River probably any sizing except small one is reasonable, we might bet sets and some flushes for medium size and use pot-bet, overbet for 6x and different unblocker flushes. Your hand I guess preferring big sizing,being bottom of the range and having club blocker.
The way you split it makes sense. I probably figured in game I wouldnt bet here with a J as big, but Im effectively repping a flush, and that I should be sizing up. Thanks!
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