NL10z BBvBU X/R Triple barrel bluff
Posted by downflux01
Posted by
downflux01
posted in
Low Stakes
NL10z BBvBU X/R Triple barrel bluff
SB: $10.77
BB: $27.00 (Hero)
UTG: $13.33
MP: $10.80
CO: $8.45
OTF: As solvers often suggest with such hands that have backdoor FDs and coordinate around the board, I picked my hand for a X/R bluff. Im pretty sure Im overdoing it sometimes, especially vs bigger sizings where theory also says to tone down X/R agression.
Turn: The thing about the turn is that by villain betting and him calling a reraise, his range will be narrowed so much here that my bet is probably marginal at best. He is still calling with all of his overpairs, FDs, maybe 7x still in case he thinks im full of shit but he could be also folding those MPs sometimes. The only thing that helps out here is my picked up equity, so that I have around 14%.
River: In case I want to triple barrel this, I shouldve probably sized down turn a bit more, so hes not priced in with half his stack to call with his overpairs. Its probably one of the worst cards against an aware opponent to bluff (we have less 33, his overpairs beat our two pairs like 74s or 43s that go for such a line) and I would probably not go with it on higher limits, but I think its still good enough.
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What kind of player is villain?
Unknown
Hey,
I just can't see many folds in his range. Prob 50% will be flushes OTR. You're blocking straight draws and 87 which he could call you down with, some times (?).
Regarding your ranges on the turn I don't see him with TT+ as those would prob 3bet flop for value. And even Adxd would go for 3bet/shove flop I believe.
You can fold this hand to flop bet, as you will have so many hands that connect with this board and have backdoor equity like J6cc/75cc. Basically your range connects so well with this board you can actually fold the overs with bdfd and still easily defend it.
As played, its fine against competent players: opponents that can fold all overpairs and 2 pair/trip hands. At 10nl, not going to happen. So dont take this line here as they will call down with TT-AA all the time.
I agree that you don't have to raise that combo, you have so many better ones to do it with. I would also like the raise more against a smaller size. He bets quite large into 2 people on a board that connects quite well with defending ranges. River is a bit whatever on NL10, difficult to make assumptions.
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