NL10z 3bp call or raise on river 3way?

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NL10z 3bp call or raise on river 3way?

Blinds: $0.05/$0.10 (6 Players) BN: $25.15
SB: $8.12
BB: $5.11
UTG: $10.00 (Hero)
MP: $15.93
CO: $18.58
MP is 30/24 with 5.8 3bet over 180 hands. WTSD 16, W$SD 60, WWSF 39
Preflop ($0.15) Hero is UTG with 6 5
Hero raises to $0.24, MP raises to $0.85, 2 folds, SB calls $0.80, BB folds, Hero calls $0.61
Flop ($2.65) A K 5
SB checks, Hero checks, MP checks
Turn ($2.65) A K 5 4
SB bets $1.27, Hero calls $1.27, MP calls $1.27
River ($6.46) A K 5 4 5
SB bets $3.09

Wouldn't usually open this UTG but SB and BB are recs so widening opening range.

With MP left to act on the turn, calling seems like the least bad option, guess we have to fold if we face a raise? Not sure what we should be doing on this river, either calling shoving. MP can still have AA/KK some percentage of the time as can SB. If SB does this with AK as well as some AA/KK/A5 (maybe some better 5x?) river shove seems a bit thin, especially with a reg behind who could still have an uncapped range. Guess Sb could also have a lot of other random Ax and Kx which he might be calling vs a shove?

Thanks

4 Comments

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Jeff_ 6 years, 10 months ago

Just calling river, not sure sb will bet/call Ax and other guy might call his Ax too hoping for split.
Some people won't bet Ax there, so his range can be different (polarized). With all said, fine played, wouldn't hate raising too/

blaschenfier 6 years, 10 months ago

i thin i would put in a raise, SB should really only have one combo A5s which beats us. his stack is not full, so he might call a raise with a random Ax. would also not suspect MP having AA/KK a lot.

a_zuzolo 6 years, 10 months ago

Close, but I think I would raise the river. I feel like the cold call of a 3Bet in the SB (along with leading the turn and river) is just so heavily waited towards AK or AQ, and he probably won't be able to fold either of those (especially AK) with so little left behind.

Just feels like a good spot to get that extra little value out of his (imo) very likely strong-but-second-best hands, with minimal risk of running into AA/KK

frontdoorbackdoor 6 years, 10 months ago

thanks for the comments. Yeah felt close in game, especially with MP left to act behind but i guess either could be fine as MP can still over-call and SB can call off with worse Ax so they are probably similar in EV. Ended up calling, MP folded and Sb showed AKo,

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