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nl100z triple barrel vs rec player

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nl100z triple barrel vs rec player

Blinds: $0.50/$1.00 (6 Players) BN: $113.22
SB: $100.00 (Hero)
BB: $110.98
UTG: $71.13
MP: $100.00
CO: $48.30
Preflop ($1.50) Hero is SB with K A
UTG raises to $3.00, 3 folds, Hero raises to $10.00, BB folds, UTG calls $7.00
Flop ($21.00) 2 Q 2
Hero bets $5.50, UTG calls $5.50
Turn ($32.00) 2 Q 2 7
Hero bets $16.50, UTG calls $16.50
River ($65.00) 2 Q 2 7 4
Hero bets $46.50, UTG calls $39.13 and is all in

So, he is a rec player 25/17, open 25% utg and fold 30% to 3bet 1.2k hands

I dont want to bluf much, but i think i can bluf all AKoff w diamonds, because i had a tons of value combos AK/AJ/AT/KJss AA/KK (6) QQ, AQs (3) AQo (9) and KQs (3), 26 combos of value, i will check QQ/AA KQss some times, but its ok to bluff all 6 combos ok AKo here?

3 Comments

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Mancuso 6 years, 3 months ago

I'm checking back turn and most rivers as you still have showdown value with the best A high.
Probably I'm choosing better bluffing combos that won't have SDV.

kirgiz 6 years, 3 months ago

If youre valuebetting kq here you expect to be called by 88-ĵĵ or it doesnt make sense to vbet therefore you cant bluff at all.

Jeff_ 6 years, 3 months ago

Looks alright, however if you have 1,2k hands on rec, maybe you can tell if have stationary tendencies. But I don't expect this bluff to be highly profitable.
Things to mention - turn is decently bad for you, I expect our vbetting range be quite tight (and beting freq low)

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