NL100::call turn shove w 99?

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NL100::call turn shove w 99?

BB: $52.43
HJ: $60.05
CO: $206.60
BN: $72.37
SB: $100 (Hero)
Preflop ($1.50) (5 Players)
Hero was dealt 9 9
HJ raises to $3, CO folds, BN folds, Hero calls $2.50, BB folds
Flop ($7.00) 7 6 4 (2 Players)
Hero checks, HJ bets $6, Hero raises to $18, HJ calls $12
Turn ($43.00) 7 6 4 3 (2 Players)
Hero checks, HJ raises to $39.05, and is all in, Hero calls $39.05
River ($121.10) 7 6 4 3 A (2 Players)
Final Pot

villain is 33/20/2.

i feel willing to felt that flop for 60 BB; is that a leak?

is felting that flop for 100 BB a leak?

on the turn, i need 32% equity to call.

against a range of {66-33,As8s,A7s,As5s,As4s,As3s,As2s,KcQc,KsQs,KsJs,KsTs,Ks9s,Ks8s,QsJs,QsTs,Qs9s,Qs8s,JsTs,Js9s,97s+,87s,65s,54s,A5o}, 99 has 33% equity. of course, that assumes villain never 4b shoves with any of those spade combinations on the flop, or with 66/33 for that matter. [i left 77 out, as i figure that most sets would realistically have gotten it in on the flop.]

also, villain would probably be more willing to take a free turn card with draws, making it more likely that a turn shove represents a straight, yea?


3 Comments

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WM2K 11 years, 10 months ago

Not a fan of a c/r here OTF. What worse is going to be getting it in often enough vs you? 88, A7s? Then you consider the fact that theres a significant amount of bad runouts. 8,3, any spade to start.

C/f turn I think although its kinda sick as he should nt have many 5x combos which makes me somewhat inclined to call. Its just that I don t think he should expect you to fold a set.

Chael Sonnen 11 years, 10 months ago

Why do you turn a value hand into a bluff? He folds his air and continues with hands that beat you, except 88 and A7s, like WM2K mentioned.

check-calling is the best option by far.

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