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NL100 ZOOM - set on meh river

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Posted by posted in Low Stakes

NL100 ZOOM - set on meh river

BN: $223.70
SB: $127.46
BB: $102.50 (Hero)
UTG: $212.61
HJ: $84.47
CO: $84.35
villain is a reg. 25/18/8.7%3b (320 hands)

46% cbet, delayed cbet 71%.

Preflop ($1.50) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt 5 5
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO folds, BN raises to $2, SB folds, Hero calls $1
Flop ($4.50) 2 J K (2 Players)
Hero checks, BN checks
Turn ($4.50) 2 J K 5 (2 Players)
Hero checks, BN bets $3, Hero raises to $12.50, BN calls $9.50
River ($29.50) 2 J K 5 T (2 Players)
Hero bets $20, BN raises to $209.20, and is all in
After I bet I felt like he might turn Jx/weak Kx into a bluff but I don't know if im being paranoid.

x/c, b/c or b/f river?

6 Comments

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Getready2rokk 11 years, 4 months ago

bet/fold hes got allot of Jxdd,Axdd imo. You rep pretty strong i think you need a good read that he can turn stuff into a bluff to call here. 

MrSawyer 11 years, 4 months ago

Bet/fold without a read, imo.  I also prefer to lead turn since I'll be stabbing with a lot of bluffs/semi-bluffs after he checks back the flop.

yoren 11 years, 4 months ago
I think it's pretty unlikely he plays hearts this way or Jx/QT/Kx this way. There's not much else that might get to the river. I am not sure how often you see people bluffraising with pairs on the river, but I'd assume it's really infrequent because it doesn't occur to a lot of players and even if it does, it's hard to pull the trigger. Jxdd/Axdd/2xdd and some other dd hands will play like this rather frequently relative to hands that might potentially bluff the river.

james 11 years, 4 months ago

Easyish fold here vs most people. You have a hand that doesn't block any of his value combos, your range is uncapped so you don't really need to worry about him exploiting you here, and people generally don't run huge bluffs after they've shown weakness early in a hand.

Hova 11 years, 4 months ago

@yoren We can as I do check raise diamonds in this spot often. When the board is this wet and we go bet/bet I think we get called down to often when the pot is still small and we have so many bluffs in our range when all draws miss, but x/r turn bomb river makes it much tougher for villain.

So a plan like for example leading Kx, QJ+ gutshots/openenders and x/r'n FD's and 2pair+ and then x/c'n like Ahigh FD's/gutshots and JT - J7s probably works better I think. 

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