Nl100 zoom facing cb on T 3b pot w 2nd pair.

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Nl100 zoom facing cb on T 3b pot w 2nd pair.

BN: $104.87 (Hero)
SB: $189.42
BB: $86.71
UTG: $110.03
HJ: $101.37
CO: $100
Preflop ($1.50) (6 Players)
Hero was dealt 9 T
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO folds, Hero raises to $2.50, SB raises to $8, BB folds, Hero calls $5.50
Flop ($17.50) 9 4 7 (2 Players)
SB bets $10, Hero calls $10
Turn ($37.50) 9 4 7 Q (2 Players)
SB bets $24, Hero calls $24
River ($85.50) 9 4 7 Q 6 (2 Players)
SB bets $63, Hero folds

Hey again,

need some help here aswell. Villian 19% 3b from SB 158 hands on him. In 3b pot cbet stats flop 75%(4),turn 100(2), river 100(2) not much info.

Flop i guess standart. What do we do on this turn. Call and fold R ?- even onn such blank 6 ?

3 Comments

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Rapha Nogueira 10 years, 9 months ago

calling OTT is fine but against this barrel machine you can't call profitably there. your sample is pretty small and probably you are being exploited betting this but the expected value of calling turn is worse than folding, considering that are very few rivers that you can call. 

th04 10 years, 9 months ago

why can we call so few rivers? My gut response would be to snap off every missed heart with exception of a K. I think KT KJ is barreling a lot and if that gets there I'd fold. A sort of depends on villain what he is doing with suited aces preflop, if he calls them a lot calling on a A river is good imo. Yeah obviously it's going to be tough to call because he will turn a few TPs, but not overly many I think. Sure, he cbets tendencially a lot, but is he really cbetting this exact board with a 75% frequency? I don't know about that, it's fairly wet and hits our range.

For that reason I don't see too much value in villains range besides the usual overpairs, some two-pairs versus a boatload of FDs and straigh draws..

Rapha Nogueira 10 years, 9 months ago

A/K/J and hearts are not that great for our perceived range there, since we are not calling naked fds twice and he has range advantage even on this flop, even having missed it with the AK/AQ offsuit combos. Our hand isn't a great bluff catcher, since he does not have that many 9 or T on his double barreling range. If he has TTs he may check OTT considering that he has enough sd value and blocks a part of your calling range, so the hand plays better as a check and may bluff catch blank rivers. 

but I think it is a whatever spot. just need to adjust to the players. I am not saying that is fold on this blank river but I am comfortable folding turn, also. If I get to the river with this hand is very bordeline but in this card that is bad for his range I would probably call. 

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