NL100 What hand can I possibly call 3-barrels with here?
Posted by bdon22
Posted by bdon22 posted in Low Stakes
NL100 What hand can I possibly call 3-barrels with here?
BN: $177.47 (Hero)
SB: $103.23
BB: $48.85
UTG: $48.77
HJ: $102.50
CO: $205.18
SB: $103.23
BB: $48.85
UTG: $48.77
HJ: $102.50
CO: $205.18
Villain seems like a good reg, 27/22 with 3-bet of 9% over 100 hands
Preflop
($1.50)
(6 Players)
Hero was dealt
K
Q
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO folds, Hero raises to $2.50, SB raises to $8, BB folds, Hero calls $5.50
UTG folds, HJ folds, CO folds, Hero raises to $2.50, SB raises to $8, BB folds, Hero calls $5.50
Flop
($17.50)
3
2
J
(2 Players)
SB bets $11,
Hero calls $11
2 overs + BDFD + BDSD = peel imo
Turn
($39.50)
3
2
J
Q
(2 Players)
SB bets $20,
Hero calls $20
Ok so we turned a pair... but villain's value range still crushes us:
Value range: AA (6 combos), KK (3 combos), QQ (1 combo), JJ (1 combo), AQ (8 combos), QJs (1 combo) = 20 combos
Bluffing range: KTs (3 combos), T9s (4 combos), AK (12 combos) = 19 combos
Value range: AA (6 combos), KK (3 combos), QQ (1 combo), JJ (1 combo), AQ (8 combos), QJs (1 combo) = 20 combos
Bluffing range: KTs (3 combos), T9s (4 combos), AK (12 combos) = 19 combos
River
($79.50)
3
2
J
Q
5
(2 Players)
SB bets $64.23, and is all in
Equity Win Tie
BU 46.34% 46.34% 0.00% KdQd
SB 53.66% 53.66% 0.00% JJ+, AQs+, KTs, QJs, T9s, AQo+
Pot odds say we need ~44% to call. I feel this is really thin and KQ is the 2nd best hand in my range OTR (AQ is best obv).
I feel it's super thin... can I call this?
BU 46.34% 46.34% 0.00% KdQd
SB 53.66% 53.66% 0.00% JJ+, AQs+, KTs, QJs, T9s, AQo+
Pot odds say we need ~44% to call. I feel this is really thin and KQ is the 2nd best hand in my range OTR (AQ is best obv).
I feel it's super thin... can I call this?
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